Crisis India-Pakistan:
Achtergrondinformatie, analyse en nieuws
uit de Indiase, Pakistaanse en internationale media.

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The Telegraph, December 25, 2003

Could Musharraf be right?

Bharat Bhushan

There are three things that Pakistan's President General Pervez Musharraf must not do if the process of normalization of ties with India is to proceed apace.
He should not invite Indian or Pakistani editors for breakfast and have a heart to heart chat with them (under no circumstances should he get the event filmed); he should not try and answer every question that is asked of him on the relationship with India; and, he should not compete with Atal Bihari Vajpayee and L.K. Advani by countering every statement that they make.
The General does not have to win an election in India. There is no need for him to convert the domestic compulsions of the demagogues of the Bharatiya Janata Party into his own constraints.
General Musharraf has been brave in saying that Pakistan is willing to even set aside the United Nations resolutions to address the Kashmir question. The late Zulfikar Ali Bhutto had done the same thing when he signed the Shimla Agreement and agreed to a bilateral negotiation to resolve the issue. Nawaz Sharif had also quietly set them aside when the Lahore process was set into motion.
What is different about General Pervez Musharraf's statement that came at a time when neither the UN nor anyone else in the world was asking for a plebiscite in Jammu and Kashmir? And why did he make it without preparing the public opinion in his country to accept it?
This was not a concession that India sought at this time. And Madeleine Albright's view that plebiscite is a solution is neither here nor there because she represents no one but herself on the lucrative celebrity lecture circuit.
What General Pervez Musharraf seems to be suggesting by his statements is a willingness to be flexible in starting negotiations on the cancer that has eaten the innards of the two countries for more than half a century. He has been arguing for quite some time now that both India and Pakistan need to go beyond stated positions on Jammu and Kashmir. Saying that Pakistan was willing to go beyond the UN resolutions is his way of showing flexibility.
General Musharraf may want India to reciprocate by playing down the orthodox position that the whole of Kashmir is an "integral" part of India and that the only agenda is the return of Pakistan Occupied Kashmir. India has to now make a determination about whether it is also willing to show some flexibility on the Kashmir issue and what that flexibility might mean.
India cannot keep avoiding the mention of Kashmir in its relations with Pakistan or keep pussyfooting about calling it a "dispute". Let us recognize it for what it is, then go on to address the issue. History will not forgive the leadership of the two countries if they were to bequeath this cancer to even their future generations.
The 12 proposals for building confidence put forward by India have received a generous response from Pakistan. It is time to move on from there. There is no doubt that General Musharraf is serious about resolving the issue. India should also be clear about whether it wants to get into a serious negotiating mode on Kashmir at the moment or not. If there is a willingness to resolve the Kashmir question, then New Delhi must acknowledge that there is nothing wrong with the General's suggestion that negotiating positions need to be flexible. The existing frameworks and the known positions of both sides are not going to lead to a solution.
Both sides will have to reject the existing frameworks, which have failed in this respect - that is the historical, legal and the military framework. In all these frameworks the differences between India and Pakistan are irreconcilable.
In the historical framework, India says that the sovereignty lay with Maharaja Hari Singh and not with the people of the princely state of Jammu and Kashmir. So, when he signed the Instrument of Accession, what his subjects may have wanted was immaterial. The two-nation theory favoured by Pakistan says that the people of Kashmir should have opted for one or the other emergent nation-state on the basis of religion. The two-nation principle was an instrument of governance developed by the colonial state for British India. Once British paramountcy ended, there was no question of using that principle by the post-colonial secular state in India. In any case, India can claim to be the second largest Muslim country in the world, so there is no question, as far as New Delhi is concerned, of allowing Muslims in Kashmir to opt for the Islamic state of Pakistan.
In the legal framework, there are two options - of adjudication and of arbitration. Neither is acceptable to India. As for the military framework, it has not helped resolve anything. The three wars fought, the Kargil conflict and the eyeball-to-eyeball face off in 2002 are a testimony to this. Now that both the countries have gone nuclear, the possibility of resolving the Kashmir issue militarily has become even more remote.
Therefore, the two adversaries have to agree to go beyond these existing frameworks if they want to solve the Kashmir issue. This is what General Musharraf seems to be suggesting. Once there is agreement on this, then a search for new framework can begin.
If it is not possible to resolve the Kashmir issue immediately, even then a certain kind of relationship with Pakistan is possible which would not be entirely adversarial. Between 1972 and 1988, India and Pakistan did not have an adversarial relationship, and the relationship was not Kashmir-centric. Because of a variety of factors since then the relationship has become hostage to the Kashmir issue.
Often solutions are not possible when a situation is not malleable. The attempt then can be to first make it malleable by bringing the temperature down.
To do this, India and Pakistan can initiate a series of Kashmir-related confidence-building measures. Besides the Srinagar-Muzaffarabad road link, perhaps other roads can be opened up - say Uri-Chakauti and Jammu-Sialkot. There can be experiments with Friday markets along the border and the line of control. Kashmiri students from the other side can be allowed to come and study in educational institutions on the Indian-side of Jammu and Kashmir. India can pull out a brigade or more of its armed forces from the valley to generate goodwill.
There can be many imaginative measures, which if properly graduated and spread over a couple of years, can bring the temperature on Kashmir down. The important thing is to stretch the process of confidence-building. This would also allow the Pakistan establishment to rehabilitate the jihadis who cannot go on polishing their guns for years to come - they can be trained to become carpenters, plumbers, farmers or other self-employable professionals. Pakistan can also use the time to choke the funding of the jihadis, stop their training, dismantle their launching pads and re-assign, transfer or give golden handshakes and retire their handlers in the Inter-Services Intelligence.
In effect, the two countries would have then created conditions which might allow the next generation in India and Pakistan to deal with the Kashmir issue in a more reasonable way - say 10 to 15 years hence.

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Pakistan Peace Coalition, December 24, 2003

Statement on anti-WMD decisions by Iran and Libya

Pakistan Peace Coalition
ST-001, Sector X, Sub-Sector V,
Gulshan-e-Maymar,
Karachi-75340
Pakistan

[Date: 24 Dec 2003]

Pakistan Peace Coalition (PPC) welcomes the recent decisions by Iran and Libya to abandon their quests for weapons of mass destruction, first by Iran by opening itself for very intrusive monitoring of its nuclear establishments, and then by Libya by abandoning any programmes of WMD that it may have had.
However, these unilateral steps from Iran and Libya are likely to serve only a limited purpose, if no further progress is made towards global disarmament under article 6 of the NPT and towards further de-nuclearisation, especially of Israel, to enhance security and stability in the Middle East. Without Israel's joining in the moves towards making the Middle East weaponsfree zone, these developments will be perceived as Western powers having coerced these two countries to give up their nuclear option in order to make Israel supreme in the region.
Next in line ought to be Pakistani and Indian nuclear weapons programmes. The existence of nuclear weapons in this region will always remain a source of great worry. The geography and the history have made sure that no other region of the world is as likely to see the use of nuclear weapons as South Asia. Now that there is a thaw in the relations between the two countries, this is the opportune moment to extend the improvement of relations to the level of declaring South Asia a nuclear weapons-free zone. In addition, the PPC understands well that the posture of the United States under the rule of the militant neo-conservatives is also a factor that stands in the way of global nuclear disarmament. PPC therefore stands shoulder to shoulder with all those forces in the world that struggle to ward off American imperialist designs.
MB Naqvi, President - PPC
Dr. A.H.Nayyar
Dr. Zaki Hassan
Dr. Tariq Sohail
Mr. Mohammad Tahseen
Ms. Sheema Kirmani
Ms. Sheen Farrukh
Mr. Aaijaz Ahmed
Ms. Sarah Siddiqui
Mr. Rahim Bux Azad
Mr. Aslam Khawaja
Ms. Nasreen Chandio (MPA)
Mr. Khalique Ibrahim Khalique
Ms. Noor Naz Aga
Mr. Mansoor Saeed
Hafiz Siddiq Memon
Mr. Karamat Ali
Dr. Aly Ercelawn
Dr. A. Aziz
Dr. M.A. Mahboob
Mr. B.M.Kutty
Mr. Irfan Mufti
Dr. Asad Sayeed
Mr. Khalid Ahmed
Ms. Sania Saeed
Mr. Shahid Shafat
Mr. Sohail Sangi
Mr. Usman Baloch
Mr. S. Akbar Zaidi
Mr. Noordin Sarki
Mr. Mirza Aly Azhar
Mr. Mushtaq Meerani
_________________________________
SOUTH ASIANS AGAINST NUKES (SAAN):
An informal information platform for activists and scholars concerned about Nuclearisation in South Asia.
SAAN Web site URL: www.s-asians-against-nukes.org

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The News International, December 24, 2003

Where have we to go

by M.B. Naqvi

Track II and III circles are agog and the governments are engaged in frenetic activity to restore normal relations between India and Pakistan. The whole world favours the burying of the hatchet between these two nuclear powers. Is peace beginning to break out? It is too early to say.
What is happening is a rather limited normalisation between the two rivals. Pakistan originally wanted to restore the Pak-India ties to the level of December 12, 2001, i.e. before India broke off most links. It appears that momentum of events might force the two to go beyond this limit.
One reason forcing the pace, apart from major powers' prodding, is the Islamabad Summit of the Saarc. This implies multiple but minor pressures on the two bigger member states: the governments and the public opinion of SAARC countries does not want SAARC to be a hostage to Indo-Pakistan quarrels. There is also the inherent appeal of regional cooperation.
Most important reason is international pressure on both New Delhi and Islamabad to change their inflexible stances on Kashmir that left no scope for compromise. It is led by the sole superpower, though EU, China and Russia are supporting the desire to effect at least a détente between these powers. It is not clear if the US is suggesting a Kashmir solution as a guarantee of stable peace in the region. The four options for a Kashmir solution, now in the air, are meant as agenda for drawn out negotiations, while normalisation plus a military détente (CBMs) based on stoppage of Jihad take care of a possible conflict.
Role of non-official peacemakers (tracks II and III) is important, though official bureaucracies' cussedness had greatly hampered them. Perhaps bureaucracies need not be blamed; they do what their political masters tell them. Recent events have demonstrated that the common people on both sides want nothing but peace and friendship between India and Pakistan. Here a clarification is necessary.
The original track II diplomats were first assembled by the Americans for assisting the two governments. They comprised influential members of the ruling establishments or were otherwise close to them. Ideas discussed at their level did not commit the governments while consensus thus arrived at can safely be pondered over by the real rulers. This track II, a convenience for the governments, should be sharply distinguished from track III wallahs who are primarily representatives of the people of the respective countries (civil society) and can ignore what governments think or say on any issue.
The much postponed sixth Joint Convention of Pakistan-India Peoples Forum for Peace and Democracy, recently held in Karachi, illustrates what Track III can do. The kind of comfortable agreement that was witnessed on most issues on which the two civil societies' representatives pondered was heart-warming. How representative the two delegations were can possibly be questioned. There was preponderance of left and liberals on both sides, though the right-wingers were not absent. True, stalwarts of the right like Ram Jethmalani did not turn up. On the whole, the two sets of delegates did represent most schools of thought.
There was unanimity over the main aim of the Forum: a people-to-people reconciliation between the peoples of India and Pakistan so as to banish inter-state as well as inter-people conflict, especially communal politics and riots or pogroms. The Convention recommended a 25 per cent reduction in the armies and a number of measures to demilitarise the society on both sides. It visualised a non-nuclear South Asia, at peace within itself and working for popular welfare and democracy. It denied Kashmir was a territorial dispute; Kashmiris' wishes were recognised as the criterion for a solution of the problem.
Among the old and young-yes there were students and young people on both sides - the upsurge of friendly feelings was evident. Convention was mainly engaged in rational discussion but sentiment of love broke loose outside the discussion hall or rooms and during cultural programmes. On departures, some delegates burst into tears.
This is an important element in the situation, though it has to contend with powerful, entrenched interests in politics, ruling establishments and of course governments and bureaucracies. Pak India cold war, interspersed with hot ones, and arms races have created powerful vested interests on either side to keep the two countries on the edge of perpetual war. These interests dominate governments. This hard fact has to be remembered to guard against easily aroused high expectations about peace as soon as government leaders shake hands. A long hard struggle in order to reach the shores of peace and reconciliation impends; governments are capable of throwing snares across people's path. They need to be aware.
For setting the course basic questions have to be asked: what is it that Pakistanis should strive for? Is it Pakistan's or Islam's glory that is the ultimate aim which the state should achieve? If so, what is the relationship of this aim with that of all the people's human rights and their material well-being, including the vital necessity of social security for citizens? Can these two goals co-exist? If so why not demand full fundamental rights and social security for all in a clear, coherent and credible manner?
Also, what about Kashmir? Is the aim its inclusion in Pakistan? Or is it the Kashmir people's right of self-determination that Pakistan should seek? In the latter case, other questions arise: Will Pakistanis abide by Kashmiris freely expressed wishes, if their decision goes against a Pakistan that is perpetually under military occupation? There is another basic question: Does this Kashmir commitment override the earlier formulated main aim? Can Pakistan envisage a solution other than UN-supervised plebiscite as visualised by Gen. Musharraf? What about the people's wishes if Kashmiris' rights are Pakistan's criterion.
It is not a matter of cleverly used words. It will affect the lives of common and desperately poor folks. It is the rich who can afford to involve the country and the people in airy-fairy objectives that seem noble but have negative effect on poverty stricken sections of population. Clarification of aims is crucial for fixing priorities and the criteria of governmental actions. All political parties and rulers should be forced to disclose their aims, priorities, objectives and their criteria. That will make politics rational and democratic.
As for relations with India, common Pakistanis should insist on the desired relationship. Time was when demagogues talked of a thousand year war with India. In changed circumstances the people want to arrive at agreements and to solve the Kashmir problem. Lately Islamabad began its peace offensive. It came not a day too soon. Peace is what suits Pakistan and peace is a high enough objective in its own right.
Anyhow relations with India need especially careful thought. After all Pakistan has fought three and a half wars and has run an open ended arms race with it. The arms race now encompasses nuclear weapons and missiles; it is becoming impossible for Pakistanis to keep up with Indian Joneses; there are just not enough resources. Even if it had those resources, it would be a stupid policy to waste them in destructive arms races.
India is Pakistan's closest neighbour, the way Afghanistan or China are not. Pakistan itself came out of India's womb. It was claimed as a solution of India's festering communal problem. All its problems deal in one way or another with India. And the origins of both are in the same history and the Indo-Persian civilization that grew around India's central authority, Muslim in middle ages. But the fate of each is a matter for the other's concern - despite the 80 year long legacy of hate and conflict and nuclear weapons.
Despite the obvious hatred of India or of Pakistan in India, whenever common people of India and Pakistan come face to face, they are attracted to each other the way no other two peoples do. One's inference is that these relations are ambivalent: if the wave of friendship and cooperation were to prevail, scope of friendly cooperation becomes unlimited. But should leadership foment hatred, the era of distrust and conflict can be sustained, as indeed happened from the second decade of Twentieth Century-but was not the case earlier.
It will be economically ruinous, socially futile and politically dangerous to continue along the present path. There is no option but to change tack and reverse the trend of communal distrust and emphasising separatism. Pakistan can reverse, work for genuine friendship - from the grassroots up-cooperate and rely on strong a millennium-old commonalities. United voice of India and Pakistan will make a tremendous difference to Asia and the world. Today, they undercut each other. If both cooperate bilaterally and regionally the whole world will take note of a new factor. If a progressively greater proportion of resources is devoted to development based on meeting human needs of the millions in both the countries, eradication of the direr forms of poverty will take no longer than a decade or so.

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The Daily Times, December 24, 2003

Polo for peace

by Brian Cloughley

On the day this article is published I shall be in Srinagar, in Indian-administered Kashmir, having travelled across the Wagah border on December 19. I write the article in Lahore, an hour after leaving the Polo Ground where my wife and I watched the India-Pakistan match along with many friends, and a record crowd of 15,000, all of whose members were good-natured and in high spirits. Not only that, but they demonstrated sportsmanship that would put any British soccer crowd to shame. Admittedly this is not much of a challenge in modern yob-ridden UK, but I am sure you see what I mean.
It was especially pleasant because my old friend General Shah Rafi Alam had two sons playing in the match: Shamyl, and the team captain, Qublai. We were staying with Rafi and Tameez at their farm near Bedian from which spot in 1965 Rafi saw his first Indian soldier - in the turret of a tank that had its gun pointing westwards. But on December 14 there were no guns in Lahore, only goodwill, and this is the message I want to spread.
Obviously the crowd was pro-Pakistan, and it went wild when Qublai scored the winning goal in the extra sixth chucker to decide the game ten-nine in the sudden-death play-off. But all fifteen thousand of them applauded the Indian team. The Pakistan and Indian players shook hands with obvious cordiality (and partied together very late that night); the game was absolutely clean, with no fouls other than unintentionally; there was no roaring by players; the few Indians in the crowd, loyally displaying their national flag, were regarded with affection; Indian goals were heartily applauded; and the whole tamasha was admirably civilised. As the commentator said, it takes sport to show the way to friendship, and he declared, with genuine feeling, echoed by the crowd, that he hoped the Indian side would 'come back again and again and again and again'. And so say all of us. Well, most of us.
During my talks with so many people in Pakistan over the past three weeks the constant theme was peace. I walked round the bazaars in Pindi and Lahore and visited villages, speaking with countless shopkeepers and stall-holders. (And the only danger I experienced was that of terminal chai-poisoning.)
I had discussions with the good and the great, including President Pervez Musharraf and serving and retired officers, and with many luminaries of the business and political communities. The refrain was the same: let's talk with India; the whole stand-off has been going on too long; the way ahead is not confrontation but negotiation. There remain zealots on both sides, of course, whose appetite for confrontation remains unsatisfied and who seek to derail even the most modest attempts at improvement of relations. But the swell of public opinion appears against them. During my meeting with the president he was optimistic about Indo-Pakistan relations, and on December 18 went so far as to say that the countries "need to talk to each other with flexibility, coming beyond stated positions, meeting half-way somewhere". This is most encouraging, but, as usual, the problem lies in definition. Just where is 'somewhere' in a process of meeting half-way? It is bound to lie on one side or the other of preconceived and even predetermined positions, and is thus in itself a potential irritant.
I betray no secrets when I say that the president was frank with me in saying that so far as Pakistan is concerned, talks would be without preconditions - therefore dropping former emphasis on Kashmir. This is a major concession, and let us hope it will be met in the spirit in which it is offered. The even greater concession is President Musharraf's preparedness to move away from insistence on UN resolutions. A quantum change, indeed, and one that opens new vistas for advance to rapprochement.
Naturally the loonies disagree. Maulana Fazlur Rehman said the president had 'bowed down the whole nation before India' and I say the maulana is talking through his hat. He was joined in his sentiments by the usual suspects; those who only want the confrontation and the killing to continue and even increase. They are stark, raving mad to wish to throw away the chance for the guns to fall silent. And the chances of seeing well-fed, well-groomed, comfortable chaps such as the MMA vice-president, Sajid Mir, in the firing line are absolutely zero. The maulana declares that the president's initiative 'amounts to negating the sacrifice of Pakistanis and Kashmiris who laid [sic] their lives for Kashmir's freedom' but I haven't seen the maulana laying down anything except his peculiar version of the law.
There have been no sacrifices by maulana sahib for Kashmir's freedom. Nor have there been any sacrifices by the rest of the plump, beard-wagging, well-manicured rabble-rousers who take delight in encouraging murder and mayhem. These people are sick, and they are humbugs. Not a single one of them is prepared to take up a weapon and go forth to fight for what they call freedom. How many 'shahid' maulanas have we seen? Where are the crowd-stirrers when the bullets begin to fly? I'll tell you where they are: they are sitting in their Pajeros, surrounded by bodyguards, going very fast in the opposite direction.
The MMA opponents of a Kashmir solution are not only absurd hypocrites and physical cowards, they are devoid of compassion and incapable of political flexibility. They see the 'cause' of Kashmir as a convenient cudgel with which to strike the government. They care not a fig for the death of innocents, and they revel in bloodshed. Qazi Hussain Ahmed states that 'Musharraf must go'. But who will take his place? Another bunch of corrupt politicians? Or plump Qazi sahib, who wants the slaughter in Kashmir to continue while he sits at ease in his mansion? Most people in Pakistan want the threat of war removed. They want their children to be educated. They want clean water, decent governance, and prosperity. The MMA promises mass action against the government for its own selfish aims, and in doing so will wilfully polarise the country. It has no reasonable alternative to offer Pakistan, and wants power for its own sake.
A pox on those who deliberately seek to derail the movement to peace. They are enemies of freedom, and not its supporters. They could learn a lot from the Indian and Pakistani polo teams and the enormous crowd that supported them. The MMA for war. Polo for peace. Let the people choose.
Brian Cloughley is a former military officer who writes on international affairs. His website is www.briancloughley.com.

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December 22, 2003

Rethinking Plebiscite in Kashmir

Pervez Hoodbhoy

By declaring that "we have left aside" the United Nation Security Council resolutions for a solution to Kashmir, General Pervez Musharraf shattered a long-held taboo. While the General had given some confusing hints during his 2001 visit to India and spoken of the need "to move away from stated positions", never before had a Pakistani head of state made an explicit public admission that Pakistan cannot realistically hope for a plebiscite to end the Kashmir dispute and, therefore, is willing to explore other ways. Subsequent attempts by the Foreign Minister, Mr. Khurshid Kasuri, to dilute Musharaf's remarks have been insufficient to control outrage and accusations of treason from those in the Pakistani military, political, and jihadist establishment who remain convinced that Kashmir can someday be liberated by force. Interestingly Pakistan Television, which slavishly follows rulers around, did not cover the General's speech.
Mr. Kasuri need not apologize for the General, nor go overboard to placate those who insist on the impossible. It is true that plebiscite was indeed the solution mutually agreed upon in 1948 and that India had reneged on a solemn commitment. But the passage of five decades, and drastically changed geo-political circumstances, demand a reappraisal. Today, plebiscite is no longer the obvious way of determining the wishes of the people of Jammu and Kashmir. For example, it clearly excludes a major section of Kashmiris that would opt for independence today but which, in 1948, may not have wanted it. More frightening is the likelihood of a plebiscite igniting communal passions leading to horrific Gujarat-style bloodbaths across the subcontinent. Moreover, at a practical level there is no agency, including the UN, that is capable and willing to implement a task that all nations (except Pakistan) see as impossibly difficult. Therefore to insist on plebiscite is the surest way of guaranteeing that a bloody stand-off continues.
Why the change? Unfortunately, much of Pakistan's conspiracy-obsessed intelligentsia appears eager to believe that the General is merely obeying marching orders received from George W. Bush. But the view that everything comes from Washington is simplistic and disallows an appreciation of some critically important, but unpleasant, facts about Pakistan's failed Kashmir policy. One hopes that these considerations, rather than external pressure, have influenced the General.
First, there has been an alarming decline in international support for Pakistan's position on Kashmir. Even at the level of passing resolutions, Muslim states and the Organization of Islamic Countries have been lukewarm. More importantly, their trade with India is many times greater than with Pakistan. Today Indian workers, particularly skilled ones, are still welcome in the Middle East while Pakistanis are finding it harder and harder. It goes without saying that Europe does not agree with Pakistan's actions in Kashmir. But more significantly, even Pakistan's immediate neighbours -- Iran and China -- are extremely wary of liberating Kashmir through jihad. As if to send a signal, both countries have had joint military exercises with India during the current year. Afghanistan, which Pakistani generals long regarded as no more than their backyard, now has hostile relations with Pakistan.
While acknowledging that India is winning the propaganda war, Pakistani hardliners continue to insist that it is merely the failure of Pakistan's diplomatic missions. This is nonsense -- many Pakistani diplomats and embassy officials have tried valiantly but they could not make up for the failure of a short-sighted and indefensible surreptitious "bleed-India" policy formulated by the military establishment around 1990. One consequence was that the horrific crimes committed by India's occupation forces in Kashmir, amply documented by various human rights groups, were eclipsed by widely publicized crimes committed by the mujahideen clandestinely dispatched by Pakistan to "liberate" Kashmir. The massacres of Hindus, targeting of civilians accused of collaborating with India, killings of Kashmiri political leaders, destruction of cinema houses and liquor shops, forcing of women into the veil, and flaring up of sectarian disputes, severely undermined the legitimacy of the Kashmiri freedom movement and deprived it of its most potent weapon -- the moral high ground. In an age of television cameras and instant communication, nobody believed Pakistan's denials of aiding and arming militants. Pakistan's diplomats therefore had an impossible task, especially after 11 September 2001, when jihad became the most notorious word in the political lexicon.
Second, the recent split in the Hurriyat Conference, originally set up with Pakistani help to mediate disputes between different anti-Indian Kashmiri organizations has sharply reduced Pakistan's influence on the Kashmiri freedom movement. Kashmiris have realized that their interests are by no means identical to Pakistan's. In a clever move, after having stubbornly resisted talking to the Kashmiri leaders for years, the Indian establishment -- including the hawkish L.K.Advani and N.N.Vohra -- now has had direct talks with Maulana Abbas Ansari's majority faction of the Hurriyat. Pakistan is now left isolated with the small Geelani faction. Moreover, by fencing off the LOC, acquiring high-tech surveillance and night-vision equipment from Israel, and increasing pressure on Pakistan to limit infiltration, India is likely to further decrease Pakistani influence in Kashmiri domestic politics.
Third -- and most important -- is the inescapable fact that India, with its hugely abundant scientific and high-tech manpower, is set to emerge as one of the world's largest economies while Pakistan's educational and scientific institutions continue their decline. India has penetrated into America's industrial core, providing it with scientists and engineers, and even drawing work away from US companies into India. Income from just one source -- outsourcing and IT services -- is expected to swell to an annual export industry of $57 billion by 2008. This far exceeds Pakistan's GNP, current and projected. The outline of an emerging US-India strategic partnership is beginning to emerge. The recently concluded agreement on space and nuclear cooperation is one indication of things to come. It is clear that the US no longer regards Pakistan as being in the same league as India. Therefore any expectation of equal treatment would be a delusion.
Time is running out for Pakistan. Rather than perform another Afghanistan-style U-turn, it should seek practicable ways of settling Kashmir before a solution is forced upon it. In effect this could mean a preparatory stage in which inflamed nerves are soothed and the high-pitched decades-old rhetoric is toned down. Subsequently, the Pakistani side of Kashmir and the Northern Areas should be formally absorbed into Pakistan. Negotiations should be conducted with India on an LOC-plus solution that allows for some territorial adjustments and soft borders, and possibly a 10-mile deep demilitarized zone. While the division of Kashmir is unfortunate, it is better to accept this reality rather than live with endless suffering that has consumed nearly 90,000 lives since 1987.
By dropping its insistence on plebiscite, Pakistan has now put the ball in the Indian court. If Mr. Vajpayee is the man of peace that he says he is, he must respond to a move that is breathtakingly bold. The move carries additional personal risk for General Musharraf, whose narrow escape from an assassination attempt shows the dangers of the line he has taken. The forthcoming SAARC summit in January 2004, to be held in Islamabad, provides an opportunity that India should seize upon.
The author teaches at Quaid-e-Azam University, Islamabad

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The News International, December 21, 2003

One big peace party

The most encouraging aspect of the sixth joint convention of Pakistan-India Peoples Forum for Peace and Democracy was the huge participation of first-timers and young people

By Beena Sarwar

"Defy the divide, unite for peace," declares the huge theme banner on the stage at the end of the lawn, venue of the opening and closing plenary sessions of the sixth joint convention of Pakistan-India Peoples Forum for Peace and Democracy, held in Karachi recently. The open sessions are attended by some 500 Indian and Pakistani delegates and hundreds of local people. Banners and flags from a joint exhibition flutter in the cool sea breeze.
The main hall buzzes with animated discussion following presentations on de-militarisation and nuclearisation (Dr Pervez Hoodbhoy), intolerance (I A Rehman), globalisation (Sushil Khanna) and Kashmir (Gautam Navlakha), followed by group discussions on all these issues. But this convention is not just about speeches and position papers. It's also about reunions, discoveries and questions, ranging from a desperate inquiry about coffee, to what the next agenda item is, to where can one go to exchange money or buy gifts. It's about meeting and getting to know each other, about people desperate for the simple personal interaction that their governments deny them. Perhaps the most commonly heard question on the first day is, "Are you Indian?" as Karachiites throng the venue to try and meet people from across the border.
Upstairs, the hall is full of schoolchildren watching a screening of the hit film 'Makri', organised by the Human Rights Education Programme -- followed by an impromptu screening of 'Brothers from Chichibabba', a 12-minute animation based on the children's book by scientist D P Sengupta.
Dedicated to 'the Kargil orphans of India and Pakistan', the film is produced by Kolkata-based Indrani Roy and Debasish Sarkar. It tells the story of the right-handed Guruk and left-handed Turuk, who allow their differences to overcome their love. A wall comes up between them, and they grow up to rule their own kingdoms, amass armies and buy increasingly lethal weapons. But children from both sides start to meet each other as a hole develops in the wall. "I'm hungry," says one. "I want to go to school," says another. "We don't want to fight." "If the bombs fall, we will all be dead anyway," adds another, scared at the prospect of "melting like butter". Guruk and Turuk then see each other for the first time and remember the love they used to share, and to the cheers of the watching children, they embrace.
The children watching the film also cheer. But as they file out, one little boy is overheard muttering, "India murdabad". Embarrassed when caught by a teacher, he quickly pretends he was saying something else.
Perhaps the student's bravado only reflects what he has been hearing all his little life, rather than any deep-rooted conviction. But personal interactions can overturn even strong convictions, as a young engineering student found, after volunteering at a seminar of Indian and Pakistani women in Lahore three years ago. "I had always thought of India as the enemy," he had said, explaining that he volunteered because he had never met an Indian before, and was curious. "Now I know they are people, just like us."
In December 2000, when post-Kargil tensions were at their peak, a group of history students from Delhi came to Lahore by train. One student from Kargil confessed to feeling "hatred towards Pakistan" before. What brought him was curiosity, "to see what these people are like, who have inflicted such suffering on us." Like the engineering student, he too left with the realisation that people on either side are human beings, and that peace is the only option between India and Pakistan.
It is this realisation, this conviction, and this curiosity, along with the opportunity for reunions, which drives the participants of these joint conventions, these large people-to-people exchanges between India and Pakistan. Particularly encouraging about the sixth convention in Karachi is the huge participation of first-timers and young people. "We need agricultural cooperation," says Akram Khan, a young farmer from Layyah, inspired to attend by the continuing participation of his father in previous conventions.
A young representative of the Pakistan Fisherfolk Forum rushes about trying to organise what must have been the largest sectoral group meeting, between fishermen from both countries, who are routinely arrested and imprisoned for violating territorial waters. "We're arranging a grand reception for our leader, Father Thomas Kocherry," he explains, referring to the legendary organiser from Bombay. "This is the first time he has come to Pakistan." Some 1,500 fisherfolk, including women and children, waited over two hours for the Forum delegates to meet them at the Ibrahim Haidery wharf.
Other sectoral groups included trade unions, women, media, doctors, youth and students, environment and displacement, and artists.
The Karachi convention on December 12-14, 2003, was postponed from its original 2001 date -- and not just because of continuing tensions exacerbated by post-Kargil hostilities, the 9-11 attacks, and the attack on the Indian Parliament. Joint conventions have previously taken place in times of tension (which in any case are more frequent than times of peaceful co-existence). But the suspension of the road, rail and air links dealt a huge blow to these interactions. Forum participants include fishermen, trade union workers, students, farmers, journalists, filmmakers, women and human rights activists, who pay for their own transport and cannot afford the inflated cost of reaching across the border via Abu Dhabi or Dhaka.
Special permission is needed -- as it was this year -- to allow them to cross the border on foot when the train is not running. Within the country too, they take third-class trains to the joint convention venues, which have included Delhi (Feb 1995). This was followed by Lahore (Nov 1995), Kolkata (Dec 1996), Peshawar (Dec 1998), and Bangalore (2000). Karachi 2003 has been the largest joint convention so far, with almost 250 participants from India and roughly as many from Pakistan.
Right from the start, the joint declarations have been pressing for a resolution of all issues through dialogue between the two governments, a peaceful settlement of the Kashmir issue based on the aspirations of the Kashmiri people (rather than as a territorial dispute between India and Pakistan), reduction of defence budgets, more people-to-people contacts and an end to religious intolerance and violence.
And yet, unlike Guruk and Turuk of Chichibabba, the leaders of India and Pakistan are unlikely to embrace with open arms when they next meet, as expected at the SAARC summit in a few weeks. There are few illusions that the people's pressure will affect government policy. But, as founding member I A Rehman says, "As the pressure of the people increases, it does limit the options of the governments."
In any case, "Peace is too important a business to be left to governments," quips Forum Chair from Pakistan, Afrasiab Khattak. "The people are the real stakeholders and they have to keep up the pressure."
That, this huge joint convention undoubtedly did.

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The News on Sunday, December 21, 2003

Tapan Bose: Talking peace

By Zaman Khan

Why should the Pakistani consumer be punished? Why should the Indian consumer be punished? What is this nationalism? You are talking about WTO and free trade. You can't go on doing both things at the same time. This logic has finally come to end. It will break. Once you have a bania on both sides, who has a stake, then it will change. You will see the media will also change

Tapan Bose is an India-based media man, filmmaker, human rights and peace activist. He knows every intellectual, peace and rights activist in Pakistan and South Asia by first name. He is one of the architects who envisaged the establishment of Pakistan-India People's Forum for Peace and Democracy (PIPFPD), and is the Secretary General of its Indian Chapter. He is also working as Chief Executive Officer of SAFHR, Katmandu.

In an interview with Political Economy during his visit to Pakistan last week for participation in the PIPFPD forum, Bose talked about various aspects of the India-Pakistan peace developments. Excerpts follow:

PE: Would you like to tell us your expectations and hopes from the Sixth Convention of PIPFPD? You know this convention is being held after a delay of three years...

TB: Our expectations are the same as old, but the environment has changed a bit. Pakistani Government has offered in response to some of the earlier Indian offers. In the interlude it seemed that the train has stopped. Now things are moving. We are very hopeful that at least some of the things would happen. Borders will be opened at some more places, more buses would be deployed, Muzaffarabad-Srinagar route will open. The border across Rajasthan, Jammu, Gujarat and Sindh will have more exchanges. And hopefully the visa regime will also become easier. I am also afraid that it is not going to be easy and it may take more time. It is more important to start rail traffic then air because the rail is what the common man can afford.

More important is what will happen in Kashmir. If Kashmir contacts open up...if the people on both the sides of the Kashmir are allowed to meet, because opening up a bus service between Srinagar and Muzaffarabd would mean that the two governments are agreeing to allow something, which they have not allowed in the past fifty years. That means allowing the Kashmiris to meet. Now if they start doing that, it means a substantially changed situation in Kashmir. What we have been saying all along that Kashmiris should be allowed to meet, discuss and develop their own democratic institutions where they can participate. Till this day, it has not been possible. By keeping them divided it has also been possible for the Government of India to manipulate the elite on their side and the Government of Pakistan to do the same.

Once you open the gates then the capacity to manipulate would reduce. And if this exchange begins and if it is sustained I am sure in five years time you will see change in the public opinion in Kashmir. That is what really the solution is. Look at it in 1993-94; we could not talk about openly that India and Pakistan must make peace. In 2003 we are doing it openly. Five hundred delegates are going to meet in Karachi. When the Sindh Chapter convention took place in May 2003, I was in Karachi. I saw thousands of people came to attend that meeting on a weekday. This is something, which did not happen in the past. So there is a groundswell. And the political parties and the leaders, armies and the generals have to understand. So the hopes and expectation are higher. Fear is also there. And consciously we have to step on.

I think the Forum has also come a long way. We know the problems like this time also in the middle of November we thought everything is moving on smoothly, we will get all the visas. We will get all the exits we have asked for. But suddenly three days ago we were put on hold. And there was panic and as you know the visas were given finally, even less then twenty four hours when we were to cross. There was a moment of panic, when we thought that we may have to cancel it. But it happened. It also shows that governments on both sides are also caught, as we are caught. And they also realised that you can't really stop it.

PE: There have been sudden ups and down in the relations between India and Pakistan. Now the important question is, how to sustain this momentum?

TB: There are some of us who have deep political commitment to democracy and broader democratic and social justice issues. Unfortunately, our political parties are no longer committed to social justice issues. Unfortunately, under the globalisation and liberalisation regime, social justice is no longer on any body's agenda. Poverty is not on our agenda. We are all in the privatisation agenda. So in today's world I think the only thing that will matter is if we can get the business community--'Hindustan ka Bania aur Pakistan ka Bania'. If we can get them to do cross-border investment and trade, that is a class of people who have more power today. You see that peasantry has no power; peasantry is powerless. Working class is powerless. The middle class is also powerless. It is only the traders and businessmen and the industrialists who are powerful. So if we can get the Indian businessmen to invest in Pakistan, if Pakistani businessmen start investing in India, if free trade begins, and that will happen, after all in the last fifty years we have done. Look at the unnatural divide; in East Punjab there is glut of agricultural produce. Tomato sells at five rupees a kilo and here it is 80-100 rupees. There is a glut of wheat and you are importing from Canada. You see this is unnatural.

Who are you punishing? It is the ordinary consumers in Pakistan who need to consume vegetables, who need to consume wheat. They are being punished. Similarly, in India we can import your rice, cotton, sugar, and sugar cane, at a much competitive price. The Indian consumer will get a much better price. And similarly Pakistani producer and consumer will benefit and this will affect millions. This will also create a much better solution for the political problems that India is facing in the Punjab, as you are facing. This cannot go on. It is an artificial divide. Similarly, you see the automobile industry in Pakistan is new and growing. Twenty-five years ago it was a similar situation in India. The model of Suzuki, which is being sold for five lakhs here, the same model of Suzuki in India is sold for 2.5/2.8 lakhs. So Pakistani consumer is paying a much higher price. Why should the Pakistani consumer be punished? Why should the Indian consumer be punished? What is this nationalism? You are talking about WTO and free trade. You can't go on doing both things at the same time. This logic has finally come to end. I think it will break. Once you have a bania on both sides, who has a stake, then it will change. You will see the media will also change. Today it does not care. It has no stake today. After all, how can the media run without advertisements? Who will give advertisements? It is the business houses who give advertisements. Media does not run the newspapers. You and I pay in the street for the newspapers. So if the same people who give advertisement have a stake in the business in the other country they will force the media to become more responsible.

PE: How should they be motivated? There is fear in Pakistan. I was just listening to a speech by a Pakistani industrialist here at Wagha saying, "India wanted to use Pakistan just as a market but we want equal treatment"...

TB: Look you are doing trade with China. Can you dictate equal treatment to China? India is also doing trade with China. This is ridiculous. As it is, what is equality? Equality is in the market. The buyer and the seller should be able to do trade on a free and fair basis. Today Pakistan is importing 30% of its steel from India. If you are already importing 30% of your steel and you are getting both price and quality advantage, is it fair or it is unfair? If you increase it to 50-60%, will it be fair to Pakistan or will it be unfair to Pakistan? Now tomorrow are you going to say I am not going to import all these cheap batteries and calculators and computer parts from China because it is unfair? Is it fair to your consumer? What is unfair about it? Who is Pakistan? The manufacturer who is producing lesser quality goods and charging higher prices from its consumers? Pakistan belongs to whom--only to profiteers or the common people of Pakistan? You see the same happened in India. Vajpayee signed an agreement for the import of Sri Lankan tea. Sri Lankan tea is 25-30% cheaper than Indian tea. So the Indian tea lobby got together to scotch that. So who lost, the ordinary Indian consumer? In fact, Sri Lankan tea is much better than the Indian low-grade tea. So, good quality tea at a much cheaper price. But because the Indian tea lobby is so powerful they got it scotched. You see, these people are everywhere.

PE: How can it be countered? With people's pressure or people's movement? Even the peace movement is very weak.

TB: It is ultimately connected with the consumer's rights. You see democracy is just not political vote. This is also democracy. It is in fact a deeper question. Do we as a consumer have a right to demand a fair price? You cannot go on punishing us by bad products and higher price in the name of nationalism? We cannot go on saying that dependency of Germany, Japan, America and Russia is alright. But dependency on Indian production is bad for the nation and then go on punishing me. I pay fourteen lakhs of rupees for a car like this Toyota, which is being made here. A similar make is available for 6-8 lakhs in India. Why should Indian make Indigo, which is nearly 40% less in price, but is not available to the Pakistani consumer? Just to protect the interest of that one bloody manufacturer. How many jobs does he create? Similarly, why should Indians not import the Pakistani sugar, Pakistani machine parts the Pakistani expertise? Whose interest, just a few handful industrialists? Are they Indians or the millions of consumers? That is where I think we have to take them. That is, in my opinion, the future direction for Pakistan and India.

PE: Are you hopeful that things would move in the right direction?

TB: I am very hopeful and our slogan this year is "Defy the Divide, Unite for Peace". We want to develop three to four joint programmes. We want to develop a link with the farmers and the agriculture producers' lobby and traders' lobby and organisations, first to begin with the two Punjabs. And we want to organise exchange between them and want them to meet each other. We would like to create a forum, so that they come up and they demand that we will go to Ludhiana Mandi and we will buy five to ten million tons of wheat and bring that here in trucks. And they will come here and buy your cotton. So you can buy vegetable and sell it here. That is the ground level thing. So we want to create an exchange and understanding between the primary level goods producers, market and traders.

PE: Do you think the state will allow it?

TB: The state does not have much of an option. It may not be very happy, like this time also. Every thing was OK. Suddenly at the last minute we were told that now the intelligence people have raised some queries. Everything was taken back. But at the end of the day they also realised that beyond a point they cannot stop it. It is counter-productive, actually.

PE: You have brought a very good study on the violations of human rights in the Indian Punjab 'Reduced to Ashes'. You have been involved in human rights violation monitoring in Kashmir. Do you intend to do a same kind of report on Kashmir?

TB: Yes, we are working on it and hopefully by January we will bring out a smaller but a similar study. We have taken two hundred cases, which have been pending before the various courts of Kashmir. We have followed it upon a ten-year period. We have followed up exactly what happened. We have focused on how the insurgency and counter-insurgency have affected the institutions of judiciary and state--the state's capacity to deliver justice. It is also a study to show the failure of the system.

You see, every state has a right to carry out counter-insurgency. In Pakistan, when there was insurgency in Balochistan, the Pakistani state also took counter-insurgency measures. State is a state. But our point is that the state should know that it is an institution incorporated by law. Human Rights people are conservative people. We want to uphold the rule of law. We are not anti-state. In fact, we are very much pro-state. We want say to the state that if you go outside the law like the militants then there is no distinction between you and the militant. The militant by definition is outside the law. The militant is saying that the state has become so bad that it has now to change. Now I have to overthrow it. You prove the point by proving legally that you are like the militant. So this is where the contradiction is. The state thinks we are pro-militants while we are actually saying that please don't put yourself in the same place as the militant.

Therefore the path we have adopted is of judicial access. We want to demonstrate how the state is giving up its own commitment to rule of law. You see that is what the Bush administration is doing. The onslaught is on the institutions of rule of law. The onslaught is on the universality (after 9/11) and only in the name of one thing--terrorism. Is terrorism the only thing that happens? You open a newspaper, the first thing and last thing is terrorism. They are militarising the society. So you see everything is criminalised. So everybody's right to freedom of expression, right to dissent, right to oppose is being squeezed out and everybody who voices opposition to the state is being criminalized; he is dubbed as terrorist. This is a very dangerous trend. This is a straight road to fascism. Whether it is being done by a democratic government, elected government or a non-elected government, it does not matter both are doing this. They have completely destroyed the civil rights. In the US, they have started discriminating on the basis of ethnicity and religion. In America today, all Arabs and Muslim people are suspects. This is what we have to fight. And we will continue doing that because we believe that without a commitment to rule of law the state system will collapse. It will actually be a lawless state. And that is where the real danger is.

PE: Being a human rights activist, would you like to share with us the human rights situation in India, particularly in Kashmir?

TB: The human rights situation in Kashmir is very bad. This whole counter-insurgency has little ability to distinguish between the insurgents and non-insurgents. This is one problem. You have seen here also what happens or what is happening in Bangladesh today in the name of security. It has been handed over to the army and how they are killing the people who dissent. State is committing excesses. It is using force beyond its required necessity. It is failing to make distinction between the good citizen and the bad citizen; that is leading to institutional subversion This is the situation of human rights and it is allowing itself to be cornered because fundamentally its ability to follow the principles of the rule of law. This is the problem. I thing there is a lack of will on the part of the state because it is unable to deal with it. There is massive dissatisfaction and it will grow because of the nature of the state, the nature of the economic policies, the whole process of globalisation, liberalisation, and free market.

It has extensively collapsed the capacity of the economy, the traditional economy to sustain and support people who are at the marginal level. It has destroyed many professions. So it is under enormous pressure. There is disproportion. The growth rate is increasing. It is not necessary and it is proved again and again that growth does not mean development. In fact, it is anti-development in the traditional sense.

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The Times of India, December 19, 2003

Pak ready to forget plebiscite

New Delhi: Effecting a subtle shift in register in the run-up to next month's Saarc summit, General Pervez Musharraf said on Thursday that?Pakistan was ready to leave aside the UN resolutions on Jammu and Kashmir so long as India was prepared to begin a bilateral political dialogue on the future of the state. The 1948 UN resolutions call on Pakistan to withdraw its forces from PoK as the prelude to a plebiscite in the whole of Jammu and Kashmir. In an interview to Reuters, Musharraf said, "We are for UN Security Council resolutions. However, now we have left that aside... If we want to resolve this issue, both sides need to talk to each other with flexibility, coming beyond stated positions, meeting halfway somewhere. We are prepared to rise to the occasion. India has to be flexible also." Indian officials say Musharraf's latest comments echo the open tone struck by the General and his foreign office prior to the July 2001 Agra summit and are aimed at creating the right atmosphere for a possible one-on-one sitting with Prime Minister Vajpayee when the latter is in Islamabad from January 4 to 6.

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The Hindu, December 18, 2003

Fascists at work: Sena warns against Indo-Pak veteran series

New Delhi, Dec 18. (UNI): The Shiv Sena activist, who dug-up the Feroz Shah Kotla cricket pitch resulting in the cancellation of an Indo-Pak cricket match in 1999, is flexing his muscles again threatening to disrupt any match between the two South Asian neighbours.
Mangatram Munde, who led a group of Shiv Sainiks in digging up the pitch at the Firozshah ground on January 6, 1999, today threatened that the activists would not allow the scheduled second match of the Veteran series between India and Pakistan on December 21 at the Karnail Singh stadium here.
"We are prepared to dig up all the cricket pitches in the country and awaiting the order of our chief Balasaheb Thackeray," Munde, the working head of Delhi unit of Bharatiya Vidyarthi Sena (BVS), the students wing of the Shiv Sena, said in a statement.
He said a group of hundred Shiv Sainiks under the leadership of Deepak Pawar had been formed to disrupt any cricket match between India and Pakistan in Delhi.
Pawar, senior vice-president of the Delhi unit of BVS, was among the Shiv Sainiks who dug up holes at the Kotla ground and poured petrol on the pitch.
Munde warned the Centre that the Shiv Sena would not allow the resumption of cricketing links between the two countries unless Pakistan handed over the 20 terrorists, including Dawood Ibrahim, to India and dismantle terrorist training camps on its soil.
Meanwhile a report from Agra said activists of the local unit of the Shiv Sena damaged the cricket pitch at the Agra sport stadium, the venue for the December 24 veterans' match between the two countries.
The Sena activists reportedly scaled the wall of the stadium late last night and dug up the pitch, the report quoting police officials said.
The activists had planned to pour grease on the pitch and then set it on fire. However, two alert constables reached there on time and chased them away.

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Dawn, December 15, 2003

Peace bid welcomed

By Shamim-ur-Rahman

KARACHI, Dec 14: The sixth convention of the Pakistan-India People's Forum for Peace and Democracy on Sunday called upon the two countries to settle the Kashmir dispute while respecting the aspirations of the people of Jammu and Kashmir on both sides of the LoC.
The Karachi Declaration, which was adopted on the last day of the three-day convention, also called for withdrawal of armed forces and armed groups on both sides, establishment of an effective and accountable mechanism to ensure protection of life and liberty of the people, particularly the women, of J&K.
During three days of deliberations delegates from the two countries appreciated the current efforts at rapprochement and called for building the people's movement to remove obstacles in the way of peace.
Delegates from the two countries unanimously declared that the future of the people of Pakistan and India as independent countries was contingent upon permanent peace and harmony so that they fought the imperialist machinations of subjugating and exploiting "the resources and the people of our countries."
The Karachi Declaration also reiterated call for global nuclear disarmament, and immediate 'de-alert' and subsequent destruction of all nuclear weapons by the two countries, a 25 per cent reduction in conventional forces, and an end to the use of landmines. It also called upon the two countries to become signatory to the UN documents in this regard.
The convention also constituted joint committees to ensure systematic and concerted pursuit of the objectives of the Forum. The committee on Kashmir has been mandated to arrange for, and facilitate, a dialogue between people from both sides of the LoC, and interact with all organizations involved in the efforts to achieve a peaceful and democratic resolution of the Kashmir issue.
The delegates from India and Pakistan were convinced that the people of the world in general and South Asia in particular faced new forms of imperialistic globalization.
The committee would prepare an immediate and short-term people's plan for confidence-building and normalcy in the region and a long-term strategy for a just and durable peace in the subcontinent.
It would visit different parts of India and Pakistan and hold extended discussions with the various sections of society, including political parties, business community, workers and farmer's organizations, media professionals, women and minority groups, and representatives of the people's movements.
The convention also decided to constitute a joint committee on minorities to deal with the issue relating to the protection of minorities and their rights in the two countries.
It was of the considered view that there would be no justice without granting redress to the victims of human rights abuses, especially with the connivance of the state as in Gujarat.
The conference was convinced that people of the world in general and South Asia in particular were confronted with new forms of imperialistic globalization, that was increasingly aided and abetted by local interests and constituencies; imposed an iniquitous system on the developing countries; destroyed the livelihood of common people; undermined the political and economic independence of counties; directed violence against societies with different political and social ideals, particularly Muslim people; and terrorized entire countries in the name of fighting terrorism.
The conference also called for building "resistance against the IMF, World Bank and WTO..., and promoting strong trade and economic cooperation between the two countries and in entire South Asia to foster independent development".
The Karachi Declaration also held that "persistence of majoritarian politics and increasing communalization of the polity, pitting one disadvantaged section against another deprives the people of their right to self-realization."
It was of the view that without adequate protection of religious, cultural and political minorities, and women, there would be no democracy. The convention also resolved that all regimes and laws that deny human rights of the person without citizenship status, such as migrant workers and those who cross the border by mistake must be scrapped.
It also exhorted Pakistan and India to sign a protocol on exchange of prisoners and respecting the rights of refugees. It demanded immediate cessation of the harassment of fishermen. Those arrested must be repatriated immediately with their boats, equipment and property, it added. The convention also called upon the two governments to remove all restrictions on travel between the two countries, and put in place a regime of issuing of visa on arrival.
It also emphasized the need for recognizing the universal right of divided families to reunion, and allow cultural exchanges and interaction between civil society organisations to counter the atmosphere of hate and distrust, remove restrictions on exchange of literature, films, music, and other art forms.

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Pakistan-India People's Forum for Peace and Democracy, December 15, 2003
Press Release

Karachi-to-Delhi Friendship March, June-October 2004

By Shamim-ur-Rahman

KARACHI: A four-month long Friendship March from Karachi to Delhi has been proposed by Pakistan-India People's Forum for Peace and Democracy to mobilize public opinion for peace and friendship between India and Pakistan. The idea of Friendship March has been initiated by Dr. Sandeep Pandey, National Convener, National Alliance of People's Movement, India.
Dr. Pandey, renowned social activist from India, holds a doctorate in Mechanical Engineering from the University of California, Berkeley and has been working as a full time social activist for the last 10 years. He has been actively involved in anti-communalism movement in Ayodhya, and nuclear disarmament, anti-globalization and anti-corruption campaigns being run in India. Dr. Pandey had initiated and led an 88-day peace march from Pokhran to Saranath in 1999 to campaign for nuclear disarmament. In 2002, Dr. Pandey led a 26-day peace march from Chitrakoot to Ayodhya for communal harmony.
The proposed 1700 kilometer long Friendship March will begin on June 11, 2004 and will reach Lahore on 4 September, 2004, the day of the 10th anniversary of the formation of Pakistan-India People's Forum. After crossing over the border at Wagah, the Friendship March will end in New Delhi at Rajghat on 2nd October 2004. A joint convention of Pakistan and India chapters of the Forum will be held at the conclusion of the march in New Delhi.
The marchers will walk 15 to 20 km on an average per day, stopping over at night in scheduled villages, towns and cities enroute, interacting with thousands of common people in both the countries, seeking their endorsement for accelerating the peace process.

Dr. Sandeep Pandey, National Convener, National Alliance of People's Movement, India
Karamat Ali Pakistan Institute of Labour Education and Research (PILER), Karachi

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The Hindu, December 15, 2003

Benazir prays for India, Pakistan peace at Ajmer

JAIPUR, DEC. 14. The former Pakistan Prime Minister, Benazir Bhutto, today visited the Dargah of Khwaja Moinuddin Chishti in Ajmer to pay obeisance and pray for the progress of the ongoing overtures for peace between India and Pakistan. Ms. Bhutto, speaking to reporters outside the shrine, said the people in both the countries were in favour of peace and hoped that the younger generation would take an initiative to break the "walls of mutual distrust and suspicion". The Ajmer dargah had the capacity to unite all the people of Indian subcontinent, she added. "Better relations between India and Pakistan will benefit both countries and increase their pace of development. A peaceful and cordial atmosphere will enable the new generation to prosper and ensure that no child becomes an orphan and no woman a widow," Ms. Bhutto said, while emphasising the need to keep the momentum of the latest initiatives for peace. This was Ms. Bhutto's third visit to the dargah that attracts devotees in large numbers from all over the subcontinent. She had earlier visited the shrine in 1991 and 2001. The officials of the Dargah Committee, appointed under a Central Act, accorded a reception to her at Buland Darwaza inside the dargah premises.

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December 8, 2003

Welcome Ceasefire In Kashmir: Don't miss the bigger chance!

By Praful Bidwai

They say nothing succeeds like success! Alas, this adage only rarely applies to India-Pakistan relations, with their sordid history of failure, followed by crisis, succeeded by hostility. So it is very good news indeed that Prime Minister Mir Zafarullah Khan Jamali's unilateral ceasefire offer in Kashmir beginning with Eid-ul-Fitr was quickly followed by Pakistan's announcement lifting its two year-old ban on Indian civil aviation flights through its airspace. New Delhi has welcomed both initiatives and agreed to reciprocate.
We citizens should actually celebrate this thaw. The resumption of point-to-point air services as well as overflights between the two countries is scheduled to begin on New Year's Day. This should pave the way for the more important restoration of rail links across the border--and hence for more trade and economic cooperation, on which India is very keen, but on which Pakistan has been dragging its feet. Greater citizen-to-citizen contacts and closer commercial relations are worthy in themselves.
The ceasefire marks, at minimum, a welcome end to the India-Pakistan practice of wantonly, randomly, casually, callously shelling each other's territory and border posts. Both states indulge in this routinely--not so much for strategic gains, as for mere effect, just to appear macho and ready to strike. Artillery shelling, which occurs thousands of times every year, takes a massive toll of life and property. The ceasefire will give a major respite to the 200,000 Indians who have had to flee their homes and fields as a result of mortar fire and heavy-calibre artillery fusillades. More optimistically, the ceasefire could lead to other substantive confidence-building measures and even conflict diffusion--especially in Siachen.
The overflight ban, imposed in January 2002, entailed a costly diversion of West-bound flights of both Air India and Indian Airlines, and hence a loss of 75 minutes' flight-time and over Rs. 100 crores in money. India was much the greater loser because, prior to the ban, it operated 10 times more flights through Pakistan's airspace than the other way around. The restoration of overflights and point-to-point services, with relaxed restrictions on aircraft size, removes a significant irritant and source of suspicion in India-Pakistan relations. It was long believed that Pakistan wanted to continue the overflight ban in order to continue to deny India aviation access to Afghanistan. This is part of the two South Asian rivals' hot-cold war, spilling over into Afghanistan.
Overflight resumption is welcome. Even more positive is what appears to be a more basic change in Islamabad's attitude. In effect; it now recognises that it's ludicrous to inflict a loss upon itself only to hurt India--cutting off your nose to spite your face, so to speak. This establishes a simple principle: don't act just to needle your adversary even though you know it will hurt you. It's irrelevant whether your adversary's loss is greater than yours--so long as you foolishly bleed yourself. This principle does not assume friendship between adversaries: it only eliminates the more grossly irrational forms of rivalry between them.
If this principle is applied to the Siachen conflict, it will produce an instant solution. Siachen is the world's highest-altitude conflict, and perhaps its most strategically irrational one. India and Pakistan, two of the world's poorest countries, are each spending something like Rs.3-to-5 crores a day to sustain hostilities at unbelievable heights such as 20,000 feet, where the wind velocity can reach 150 kmph and temperatures minus 50 Celsius.
India and Pakistan both show utter contempt for their own soldiers's lives, hundreds of whom die from frostbite--a much higher number than those killed by gunshots. Siachen leaves even its survivors scarred: with snow-blindness, high-altitude sickness and depression from being lonely for long periods in a desolate place. Indian and Pakistan have both squandered away precious opportunities to settle the issue. They fight each other not because there is a military advantage in doing so, but only to deny each other a possible future chance to demarcate the Line of Control beyond the ground reference-point NJ 9842 in ways favourable to them. Holding on to their positions in Siachen gives them no military leverage. Siachen doesn't overlook any strategic area, nor does it lead to one. It's a dead-end. The Siachen conflict must be terminated.
Even on a minimalist and cynical view, the ceasefire could lead to a Siachen solution--if the right moves are made. But one need not take a dismal view of things. Mr Jamali's ceasefire offer was unilateral and unconditional. It made a clean break with the action-reaction pattern of Pakistan's responses to India's overtures prevalent since Prime Minister Vajpayee held out the "hand of friendship" from Srinagar in April. With this, Pakistan took the first real step to establish its ownership of the peace process. One possible reason for this is growing, if subtle, Western pressure, arising from the view that Pakistan is dragging its feet on fighting Al Qaeda and other extremists. Islamabad is acutely aware of this perception.
On November 20, Gen Pervez Musharraf told senior Pakistani journalists that the world has started doubting Pakistan's sincerity in conducting the "war on terrorism"; it expects Islamabad to "do more". Failure to act decisively could even bring punishment from the US, including bombing of the "tribal agency" areas on the Afghanistan border. But compulsion isn't the only factor at work behind Pakistan's apparent change of stance. There seems to be a growing recognition within its establishment, or its moderate elements, that the covert military option in Kashmir is turning counterproductive. Pakistan cannot bleed India to an unbearable extent. It should explore the cooperative approach.
This holds especially true of economic cooperation. Pakistan's policy-makers know that the coming South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation summit is make-or-break. Pakistan can no longer hold out on a South Asian Free Trade Agreement. If SAFTA doesn't come about, India will turn its back upon SAARC and instead reach FTAs with Southeast and East Asian countries, and bilateral agreements with close neighbours, as with Sri Lanka.
Mr Jamali's Eid initiative must be seen in this positive context--as largely sincere. India must respond to it generously. India has nothing to lose by reciprocating goodwill gestures and a lot to gain by expanding and speeding up the peace process. In fact, New Delhi should look beyond the ceasefire, while ensuring is extension into the summer--after the snows melt and cross-border activity, including infiltration, increases. We must recognise that in the Indian subcontinent, the processes of normalisation (or restoration) of relations and of transforming them can go on simultaneously; indeed, they can reinforce each other. India should explore both reconciliation and transformation.
This may not result, as Gen Musharraf hopes and frequently demands, in an immediate full-scale dialogue. His formula, spelled out to the Indian business delegation which heard his overflight announcement, involves four steps: start talking; accept the centrality of resolution of the Kashmir issue; eliminate whatever is unacceptable to Pakistan, India and the Kashmiris; and finally, reach a settlement acceptable to all. This is not unreasonable. But Pakistan too must show some indications that it has stopped supporting the secessionist jehadis in Kashmir. The ceasefire is a step in that direction.
If the ceasefire holds, and if the SAARC summit is successful, India should make unilateral gestures beyond the 12 proposals of October 22. These could include relaxation of the visa regime and doing away for, say, six months, with (the absurd and counter-productive) requirement of police reporting for visitors. Similarly, India should unilaterally release all visa-violating Pakistani detainees as soon as they have served their prison terms. India should unilaterally announce more tariff concessions, especially those it's offering to Sri Lanka and Thailand. India could organise a goodwill delegation from Jammu and Kashmir to visit Pakistan-occupied Kashmir. An even bolder measure would be a one-year moratorium on missile test-flights, which could be extended if Pakistan reciprocates.
Doing this will necessitate a mindset change. Essentially, the choice is between India remaining a prisoner to its hostility with Pakistan, and liberating itself to develop its true potential and give its citizens a fair deal. The first option is not just negative; it's thoroughly debilitating. It unrealistically assumes that Pakistan and India are destined to remain enemies forever. Pakistan will always create "mischief" in Kashmir. Its proponents piously wish that Pakistan would either disintegrate because of internal dissensions in Baluchistan, Sindh and NWFP, or that its economy would collapse, as happened in the former Soviet Union.
This is the favourite fantasy of Jammu and Kashmir Governor Lt-Gen S.K. Sinha, no less. But nothing of the sort is going to happen to Pakistan. Its economy is recovering, with industrial growth clocking 18 percent. There are growing ethnic tensions, but they are not unmanageable. On a sober, realistic view, Pakistan and India will just have to learn to live with each other--separately, but sanely and responsibly. Peaceful co-existence alone can create the ground for the eventual resolution of outstanding problems between them. India must contribute to that process in the same spirit in which it made the October 22 proposals. Conflict offers no solution. Cooperation is the only option.

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The Statesman, December 8, 2003

Bollywood's Paki-bashing Propagates Negative Images, Harms Hindu-Muslim Relations

By Sajeda Momin

A turban clad Sunny Deol, muscles rippling under a blood-stained kurta runs atop a running train shooting down with a single AK-47 helicopter after helicopter bearing the ubiquitous green star and crescent as the Pakistani train hurtles towards the Indian border - this is the climax scene of the box office hit Gadar, a love story set during Partition and its aftermath. Without paying too much attention to details like does India really need a huge army to take on Pakistan when Sunny Deol can do it all by himself, jingoistic and anti-Pakistan films have flourished in India in the last few years.

Animosity
Now as relations between the two warring nations begin to thaw the Pakistani foreign minister Khursheed Kasauri has made an intelligent appeal to Bollywood - lay off making films which depict Pakistan as the enemy. As he rightly says they serve no good purpose but simply spur anti-India films being made across the border and fuel animosity. Bollywood's own King Khan - Shahrukh, the heart-throb of millions and currently rated as the most powerful star along with Big B Amitabh Bachchan, echoed Kasuri's comments on the same day at a bash in Singapore. For the first time he had the guts to openly say "I detest Hindi films which depict Muslims, Islam or Pakistan in a bad light".
Whether it is Border, Hero, Mission Kashmir, Zameen or the yet to be released multi-starrer LOC, Pakistan - and the ISI - has become Bollywood's bogeyman, much like the Soviet Union was for Hollywood before the fall of Communism. Ever since relations with our neighbours on the western front deteriorated, Bollywood has been able to find the enemy, but unfortunately it has often blurred the line between Pakistan the nation-state, and Islam the religion. Considering it is an industry which has a disproportionately high number of Indian Muslims working in it, lately many of the films have been insensitive to minority sentiments in their enthusiasm for Pakistan-bashing. While the jingoism in the "so very patriotic'' Gadar can be tolerated, stretching this to being anti-Islam is unpardonable.
A flagrant example of this is when the "brave'', but "sensitive'' hero Sunny is asked by the Pakistani villain, played by Amrish Puri, to convert to Islam if he wants his bride back. After much agonising Sunny agrees. But it is the depiction of this ceremony that is most offensive. Before a huge crowd of "Pakistanis'' (shot at the Bara Imambara in Lucknow) the hero is converted to Islam not by reciting the qalma (which is bearing testimony to Allah) as is the Islamic practice, but by chanting "Pakistan zindabad''. Sunny, who of course bears no ill towards anyone, obliges but it is when he is asked by the qazi to chant "Hindustan mordabad'' that our red-blooded Indian cannot hold back his anger and destroys everyone in sight.

Gift from heaven
Where the director or scriptwriter got this particular version of an Islamic conversion ceremony is anybody's guess, but it is certainly a gift from heaven for the likes of Praveen Togadia and Narendra Modi.
The Rs 4,000-crore industry churns out 800 films annually, twice as many as Hollywood, and it is estimated that 14 million Indians go to the movies every day, not taking into account the numbers who watch films in the comfort of their home. That gives Hindi films the capacity to brainwash at least 14 million people daily. The reach and impact of Bollywood is phenomenal. But with power comes great responsibility, and it is the latter which many directors are not showing lately.
Gone are the days of Amar, Akbar Anthony when Bollywood tried to spread the word of communal harmony. Up to the 1980s most Hindi films had the token kind, good-natured Rahim chacha or David uncle to depict the multi-religious nature of India. The character was often added even if the story line did not necessarily need it, but it was done for the cause of political correctness. But in the changing political climate of the 90s with the rise of the BJP and when Hindutva began to be projected as being synonymous with Indian nationalism and culture these figures were discarded, probably when they were needed the most.
Unlike in the nationalistic films of yore like Upkaar, Kranti or Karma where a Muslim character was always present generally shown dying for Mother India, a runaway hit like JP Dutta's Border did not have a single Muslim soldier in the regiment fighting the Pakistanis. Released at a time when Hindu-Muslim relations in India were strained, it depicted Muslims on both sides of the border as cowards and traitors.
Almost 50 per cent of Bollywood's audience is Muslim whether it is the 150 million Muslims in India or their co-religionists across the border, in the Arab countries, Malaysia, Indonesia, and many other parts of the world where sub-titled copies of Hindi films flourish. That no Hindi blockbuster is released during the Islamic holy month of Ramazan when Muslims try to avoid films is testimony to the trade's appreciation of the importance of this segment of viewers. Then why the insensitivity to their feelings?
Ever since Independence it is Bollywood films which have thrived in Pakistan so much so that their own film industry has never taken off. Pakistan even banned Hindi films in order to protect its own fledgling film industry but it was unsuccessful. Whether it is homes in Pakistan or in those of its diaspora spread across the world, Pakistanis only watch Bollywood. They can reel off the names of Hindi film actors but won't be able to tell you the name of a single Pakistani actor, unless he or she appears in television plays.
It is not only in the interest of international relations that Bollywood stop Pakistan-bashing, but also for domestic communal harmony. Stereotypes of the Muslim terrorist add fuel to the fires started by organisations like the VHP.

Critical acclaim
The producer of noted Bengali film maker Mrinal Sen's comeback film Amar Bhuvan starring Nandita Das backed out at the last minute because he did not want to invest in a story line which had an all Muslim theme so soon after the Gujarat riots, even though the film had nothing to do with Hindu-Muslim relations. He believed it would make bad financial sense as it would not appeal to viewers. Sen and his team went on to make the film on a tiny budget as they believed in it, and the film received critical acclaim.
Hindi film producers and directors are no different. They too are affected by the current political climate. Karan Johar's hit film Kabhie Khushi Kabhie Gham originally had the Hindu hero falling in love with a Muslim girl from Delhi's Chandni Chowk. But he too did not want to take the risk of negative viewer-reaction and so converted it in to a typical rich versus poor love story, and raked in the money. Johar would have certainly been more daring as a director and done greater service to the cause of Hindu-Muslims relations if he had stuck to the original story line, though he may not have made as much money.
Considering the influence of Hindi films on society, it is in the greater good that the Rahim chachas and David uncles are brought back. Some may consider them caricatures of Muslims and Christians, but they served a very useful purpose; at least they gave a better image of minorities than the current trend.
The author is Assistant Editor, The Statesman



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