Crisis India-Pakistan:
Achtergrondinformatie, analyse en nieuws
uit de Indiase, Pakistaanse en internationale media.

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The Hindu, Monday, Jan 07, 2002
Opinion

Peace is the only option

By Kalpana Sharma & Ayesha Khan

Let our leaders remember that their job as politicians is to find political solutions to intractable problems.
IT IS strange to welcome the New Year with the imminence of war staring us in the face. As planes drone over Karachi and newspapers in Mumbai throw out images of Indian soldiers standing ready at the border, we are compelled to make this argument for peace. As journalists from India and Pakistan, we collaborated on a project on peace when both our countries went nuclear in 1998 and simultaneously spouted the rhetoric of war. Today, our arguments for peace and dialogue hold an even more urgent relevance. Hence our need to repeat them jointly.
With the global community of nations' appetite newly whetted for the waging of war, preferably for war with vague moral purposes fought with murderous accuracy and vengeance, our very own India and Pakistan are now on the brink of jumping into the fray again.
The mood of madness began with the September 11 attacks in New York and Washington. As the United States like a bewildered dumb giant rubbed its bruised head and wondered why it inspired such hatred, there was even then little hope that the giant would exercise restraint and choose the remedy of politics over the remedy of violence. It has now applied its brutal salve to Afghanistan, installed the Northern Alliance, despite its dodgy human rights record, into power and refused to count or acknowledge the number of "the enemy's" dead. India is pleased with the new regime in Afghanistan, for its enemy's enemy is its friend and Pakistan's new impotence in the affairs of its western neighbour suit it well. Now that the U.S. and Israel have exercised their self-assumed right to wage war against Afghanistan and Palestine based on charges of terrorism, India sees its turn next.
But this mad logic will not lead to a solution of the outstanding issues between India and Pakistan, and a war will not bring to an end covert violence sponsored by intelligence agencies within each other's countries. There will be no true winners in such a war, only yet another brutal "solution" imposed by one enemy on another and yet another refusal to count each other's dead.
We have just a few days left to recall some words of sanity that have been raised since the world decided to go to war against "terror." Michael Lerner, a Rabbi in the United States, wrote just days after the September 11 attack that it was a world based on violence, inequity and injustice that produced the killers, and that the United States needed to recognise its own role in perpetrating the roots of such violence. "We may need a global day of atonement and repentance dedicated to finding a way to turn the direction of our society at every level, a return to the notion that every human life is sacred, such0 that violence becomes only a distant memory." He described a world that has lost the capacity to recognise the sacred in its people, the essential humanity of everyone.
In the past decades, South Asia has been victim of ruthless acts of violence, sponsored by intelligence agencies, foreign governments, its own governments, and even some of its own extremist political parties. In all cases, innocent people die, the sacred and humane within us get buried in the earth or burnt at the pyres. Can the leaders of India and Pakistan dare to take their people out of this darkness and refuse to violate their humanity yet again?
Peter Mahoney, a veteran of America's dirty war in Vietnam, wrote cautionary words after September 11 that our leaders would do well to heed. Vietnam, he stated, had taught him an essential lesson: "Soldiers are required to do their jobs because politicians fail to do theirs. Make no mistake, the war on terrorism is the desperate act of politicians who failed miserably in the leadership responsibilities to those who elected them, and who, by the very act of starting the war, have failed us even again."
Indians, even those who may harbour bitter hatred for Pakistan and resent its belligerent Muslim identity and the very fact of its creation, and are deeply angered by its obsession with Kashmir and support for the militancy in that State, should ask themselves today whether they elected the Bharatiya Janata Party and its allies for the purpose of leading their country into war or into an age of peace and prosperity.
And Pakistanis, particularly its disgraced political cadres, must also consider whether the lack of clear foreign policy objectives in its leaders and their obsession with matching India's might as well as their reliance on the sinister ISI for achieving domestic and regional objectives have brought them anything better than chronic insecurity and the tattered dreams of a true democracy. Indeed, it is the failure of our politicians on both sides of the border that will lead us into a new war.
Let us not succumb to the distorted and sanitised view of war as projected in the western media through its coverage of the war in Afghanistan. As we face our new potential war, let us be honest about the essentials. Innocent people will die by the thousands. Maybe our children will die. Can anyone countenance the death by violence of their children, or even those of their enemy? Our over-burdened exchequers will be further depleted in pursuit of these violent objectives, and even less money will be spent on the people. Hence our so-called leaders, on both sides, need war propaganda to banish from our imagination any thought of the humanity or the sacred in us all that should be nurtured, not destroyed.
As troops mass along the border, land mines are laid, and anti- aircraft missiles placed upon our apartment buildings, we need to remember one last thing. The U.S. President, George W. Bush, and Israel's Prime Minister, Ariel Sharon, are still hedging their bets as they go after their terrorist enemies. As Nicholas Kristof of The New York Times pointed out in a recent article: "One study found that foreign terrorists struck America 2,400 times between 1983 and 1998, but that the United States hit back militarily only three times: for Libya's bombing of a nightclub in 1986, Iraq's attempt to assassinate former President Bush in 1993, and Al-Qaeda's bombing of American embassies in Africa in 1998. Quite responsibly, we pick fights only with 97-pound countries." Israel, too, can wipe out Palestine when and if it desires to do so.
But the balance of power between India and Pakistan is not the same, and as India considers a similar remedy for the scourge of terrorism as its American and Israeli predecessors, it has to remember this reality. A conventional war, even a limited one, can devastate large swathes of one or both countries, while a nuclear war is too unthinkable to countenance.
South Asia must not go the way of the West, a region that has led the world in a culture of violence, global inequality, and a series of unjust wars in the last 50 years where only the mighty stand a chance to get out alive. The humanity has been taken out of the human, particularly the one who lives in the developing world. We need not follow suit like good post-colonial subjects. Let our leaders remember that their job as politicians is to find political solutions to intractable problems. Our role as citizens is to insist on preserving the humanity in us all, and protecting the future for our children.

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The News International, 7 January 2002
(http://jang.com.pk/thenews/)

Media for peace

Imtiaz Alam

More than 150 leading media persons met in Kathmandu to address the role of media in promoting peace. After long deliberations they unanimously agreed on a declaration that provides guidelines for professional conduct and a platform for action.
Following are some excerpts: We the media-persons belonging to various organisations and media fields from the member countries of South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC), having held a most frank and fruitful exchange of views at the Second South Asian Free Media Conference at Kathmandu, Nepal, on January 1-2, 2002;
Recalling the principles inspiring the Joint Statement issued by the First South Asian Free Media Conference, in Islamabad, on July 1-2, 2000, and the commitments made therein; Reaffirming our faith in peace, democracy, justice and the well-being of the family of the South Asian peoples and drawing upon the ideals of truth, integrity and humanism of our calling;
Taking serious note of the most dangerous situation prevailing between and within some of the states that threatens the very existence of the peoples, and recourse to violence and terrorism in the countries of South Asia posing serous threat to civil society, democratic institutions, peace and stability of the region;
Alarmed at the ongoing inter-state and intra-state conflicts that have the potential to unleash wars and civil strife, including nuclear war, which could cause a tremendous loss of life, devastation of environment, destruction of precious resources, infinite misery to the peoples, including denial of human and social rights. Have reached a broad-based consensus on the following understanding that reflects our deep concern about the impending dangers, the true democratic spirit of our humane commitment to the cause of peace and well-being of our peoples in South Asia and our professional calling:
Rejecting the tendency to prefer violence to negotiations, bellicosity to understanding, conflict to confidence building, arms race to management and stabilisation, evading the causes of tensions to possibilities of resolution, annexation to addressing the aspirations of the suppressed indigenous people, repression to respect for human rights, including women rights, terrorism to respect for human life and, unconstitutional government to representative regime, disregard for good neighbourly relations to peaceful co-existence;
Apprehending that such an aggressive, uncivilised, undemocratic, self-serving, rigid, irrational and repressive path in inter-state and intra-state matters relating to social and ethnic contradictions and historically-rooted conflicts will breed further violence, on the one hand, and create a social soil for nationalist jingoism, religious and ethnic extremism, fascism, authoritarianism and terrorism, on the other;
Realising that in such a poisonous environment not only the people at large but also the intelligentsia and the media are likely to be swayed by one-sided, prejudiced, hateful and chauvinistic notions of incorrigible jingoism and intolerance for the other side of the divide, resulting in derogation of professional integrity, impartiality, understanding, rationality and every consideration for amity, reconciliation, accommodation, plurality, mutually beneficial co-existence, equity, freedom, democracy and human rights;
Acknowledging that many media practitioners, reporters of conflicts, opinion makers, broadcasters, film-makers, writers, editors, moderators, strategic and socio-political analysts generally tend to be overwhelmed by the false consciousness and illusions of 'national pride', 'national interest', 'one's own greatness', 'one's own war', 'foreign danger', 'foreign hand', 'infallibility of national consensus', 'popular opinion' and aggressive national chauvinism and, in turn, take lead and compete in reinforcing these "necessary illusions" bordering jingoism, hate, irrationality, exclusion and extremism that facilitate self-serving 'national consensus' against the demonised 'enemy' and the other 'hateable' de-humanised side of the divide that is self-conveniently dubbed as 'all-wrong' as opposed to the erroneous 'all-right' on one's own side;
Accepting media-person's enormous responsibility at the present most critical juncture in region's history and most crucial role in nation-building and history-making, we recognise our pivotal responsibility to the collective survival, interdependence, mutually beneficial co-existence, expose one-sided vested interests, report and appreciate the other-side of the half-truth, not-becoming instrumental in distorting facts or providing cover-up to one's own aggression or demonising the 'enemy' or facilitating the subversion in other country, appreciation of the diversity of the unity of opposites, oppose jingoism and chauvinism, defend the fundamental human rights and equality of all our peoples, promote equality for minorities and fullest affirmative support for the deprived and disenfranchised indigenous peoples, diversion of our resources from military and nuclear build-ups to human and social sustainable development and work for greater South Asian collective identity and unity-in-diversity, non-discriminatory progress and cooperation without the hegemony of the stronger over the weaker and the bigger over the smaller;
Noting with serious concern that the media-persons daring to oppose or deviate from the official standpoints of powerful establishments are discouraged, harassed, accused, abused, victimised, emotionally, physically and materially damaged and, in some cases, even prosecuted for being 'enemy agents' while those who project and reinforce the false, dangerous and aggressive brinkmanship of the powers that be and violate all occupational ethics and standards of scholarship and objectivity are praised, rewarded and given unmerited prominence;
Have agreed to pursue, as far as possible in our peculiar circumstances, the following path while keeping our professional integrity, independence, truthfulness, self-critical introspection, overall responsibility to our South Asian region, its various peoples and an unflinching belief in the universal democratic and humane values:
1. That the participants of the Second South Asian Free Media Conference affirm their firm commitment and support to peaceful means over all forms of violent behaviour, negotiations over military brinkmanship, understanding over bellicosity, amicable resolution of social conflicts within the states and historically-rooted disputes between the states over perpetuation of conflicts, recognition of the free will and satisfaction of the aspirations of the peoples over repression, reconciliation over incompatibility, confidence-building over aggravation of tensions, management over intensification of conflicts, stabilisation of nuclear regime over unpredictable standoffs, disarmament over unbridled arms race, mutuality of interests over exclusivity, peaceful co-existence over animosity, upholding of peoples rights over repression, safety of people over state oppression, democratic governance over unconstitutional regimes and cooperation over confrontation;
2. That we resolve to distance from, and expose, as for as possible in our particular circumstances and within our relative room to manoeuvre, all such policies/acts that are meant to promote confrontation, war, terrorism, repression, destruction, loss of innocent lives, jingoism, chauvinism, religious and ethnic extremism, expansionism, hegemonism, aggression, exclusion of people, demonisation of the other side of the divide, de-humanisation of inter-state and intra-state 'adversaries', external interference, militarisation, occupation and marginalisation of peoples and curtailment of human rights and dislocation of people on any pretext whatsoever;
3. That we call upon the South Asian states, that are at loggerheads with one another and those involved in conflicts with sections of their own populace, to enter into meaningful and purposeful dialogue with the parties concerned, take confidence-building measures to stabilise and improve the situations and, in the meanwhile, find some amicable solutions that satisfy the democratic and social aspirations of the peoples, remove causes of the conflicts and take into account the mutuality of legitimate interests of the concerned states, without making the peoples and South Asia's future hostages to one conflict or the other;
4. That we call upon all governments of South Asia to take effective measures against terrorism and terrorist outfits;
5. That we as practitioners of media, to the best of our ability and, in the given situation, pledge to uphold the whole truth, not only about ourselves but also about the others, regardless of the views of establishments, responsibility, and avoid becoming instrumental in fomenting war phobia, nationalist hysteria, jingoism, hate against others, extremism, distorting the facts, misleading nomenclatures, insulting other peoples, injuring sacred feelings, desecrating sacred places, ridiculing the traits and traditions of other peoples and nations, and promote better understanding, amity, realism, free flow of unbiased information, respect for human rights, empowerment of the peoples, including women and disadvantaged groups, strengthening of democratic institutions and peaceful resolution of all conflicts and disputes to the satisfaction, above all, of the concerned peoples, while addressing the legitimate interests of states and non-state parties;
6. That we will spare no efforts in creating a peaceful, friendly, democratic, and interactive atmosphere for the resolution of social, political and ethnic conflicts in our own countries in the interests of our own peoples and amicable, peaceful and just settlement of all disputes between states and do our best in promoting informed debates, free exchange of views, exposing falsehoods, distortions, accusations, extremism, jingoism and aggressive nationalist phobia and war hysteria, encouraging dissent, defending everyone's right to disagreement and expose the beast within;
7. That we will strive to promote a media for peace, instead of a media for war, and find ways and means and use our influence in facilitating peace, reconciliation, stabilisation, confidence-building and solution-seeking processes and evolving multiple mechanisms and alternative approaches in place of current fixated national consensus on various strategic, socio-political issues and disputes and inflexible bureaucratic set-ups that thrive on confrontation and protracted stalemate.

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The New York Times, January 7, 2002
NEWS ANALYSIS, http://www.nytimes.com/2002/01/07/international/asia/07PREX.html

Bush's South Asia Strategy: Keep Terrorism as the Villain

By DAVID E. SANGER

WACO, Tex., Jan. 6 - In the three weeks since a deadly attack on the Indian Parliament, President Bush and his foreign policy team have scrambled to avoid war in South Asia with a simple formula: in daily phone calls to both sides, they have tried to reframe the conflict as a battle over terrorism, not territory.
They have carefully offered no opinion on the question of who should control Kashmir, an emotionally explosive issue in both countries. They have not volunteered to oversee negotiations, a role the United States has played so often in the Middle East and elsewhere.
Instead, they have acted as if the Islamic extremist groups accused of carrying out the assault were stateless terrorists similar to Al Qaeda and perhaps linked to it - and that they threaten the stability of Pakistan, where they are based, as surely as they threaten India.
It is partly a convenient fiction. President Bush has made no public mention of the fact that the terrorist groups he says must be crushed have often acted as a surrogate for Pakistan's intelligence service.
Yet so far the strategy appears to have worked, or at least bought some time for the opponents, who met this weekend at a tense summit meeting in Nepal.
The president's aides here and in Washington say they believe that their constant barrage of telephone calls to India and Pakistan probably prevented a rapid escalation of the conflict into a war between two hot- headed nuclear powers.
"We decided early on that the purpose now is not to solve Kashmir; it is to defuse the crisis," one senior administration official in Washington said the other day.
Another added, "The question is how long will that work - how long can you keep both sides from making a big mistake?"
At the core of the strategy has been constant pressure on Mr. Bush's new ally, Gen. Pervez Musharraf of Pakistan. At the urging of Secretary of State Colin L. Powell, Condoleezza Rice, the national security adviser, and then the president himself, who called from his ranch, Mr. Musharraf has begun a roundup of the leaders of the Islamic groups suspected in the attacks, and a few who are not suspected. The administration's thinking was that each round of arrests makes it more difficult for India to justify an attack that would almost certainly turn into war.
Mr. Bush, describing his conversations with Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee of India, said last week that, "while I understood his anger," he should "give us all a chance to work with President Musharraf to bring the terrorists to justice."
"Terror is terror," Mr. Bush said, before buying a cheeseburger in the small gas station and deli near his ranch, "and the fact that the Pakistani president is after terrorists is a good sign."
The Indians were suspicious of the strategy. They had been outraged at Mr. Bush's characterization of the two main terrorist groups operating in Kashmir as "stateless," which they saw as a crude pander to Mr. Musharraf. And they noted that despite repeated acts of terrorism in the last few years, Lashkar-e-Taiba, or the Army of the Pure, and Jaish-e- Muhammad, or the Army of Muhammad, were never placed on the State Department's list of terrorist groups. The administration belatedly remedied that on Dec. 27, more than two weeks after the attack on the Parliament.
Now Indian officials say they want "guarantees" from the United States that Pakistan would wipe out the groups. Administration officials say they have heard no such request, and they doubt they could offer such a guarantee anyway.
But they can continue to pressure General Musharraf, who by all accounts has so far offered little resistance to the American call for a crackdown, perhaps seeing an opportunity to consolidate his own power.
While General Musharraf has long identified himself with the Kashmir issue, American officials were betting that he was nervous about the Islamic radicals in his midst and the terror groups' brewing anger about Pakistan's decision to side with the United States in the war against the Taliban and Al Qaeda.
"The unspoken part of this deal," said one White House official, "is that Musharraf has a brief window of opportunity to act against these guys before they threaten him. And he's feeling a lot stronger than he did a few months ago." But in many conversations with senior American officials, General Musharraf expressed growing alarm about the size of the Indian military buildup on his border.
Defusing a crisis of this magnitude is not what the Bush administration envisioned when it came to power. All last spring and summer, the president and his aides focused on India, not Pakistan. While Mr. Bush's team has few charitable comments about Clinton-era diplomacy, they saw an opportunity to build on Mr. Clinton's courting of Indian leaders, and the strengthening of economic ties.
In contrast, they saw little potential in building a relationship with Pakistan: its support of the Taliban, its proliferation of missile technology and its constant dalliance with economic default made it seem, in the words of one American diplomat, "only a few shades better than North Korea." Hard-liners in the Pentagon, moreover, thought a tilt toward India would help in the containment of China, India's other great rival.
Sept. 11 changed all those calculations. Now Washington finds itself, to India's distress, with an equal interest in both countries. But it does not yet have a strategy to meet that new reality.
Assuming that the current crisis can be defused, officials say Mr. Bush must begin to address both the substance of the Kashmir dispute and the threat posed by both countries' nuclear arsenals. Eventually, that will require creating some kind of arms control framework that gives officials in Islamabad, New Delhi and the rest of the world some assurance that a firefight over the Line of Control does not risk rapid escalation into a nuclear exchange.
But for now the Bush administration is starting small. On Friday, Secretary Powell suggested that he was ready to send an American envoy to the region. That envoy may be Secretary Powell himself, or his deputy, Richard Armitage, or Richard Haass, who heads the State Department's policy planning operations and has long experience in defusing past India-Pakistan crises.
The hope is that the envoy will convince both sides to pull back their troops, reducing the chance of an inadvertent disaster. They are mindful, they say, of the warning from Brig. Muhammad Yaqub, the Pakistani Army's commander in Kashmir, who told a reporter the other day, "When you've got two armies standing eyeball to eyeball, even a little accident can lead to a chain reaction."

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Dawn, 07 January 2002

'South Asia can't afford N-war'

LAHORE, Jan 6: The South Asian Fraternity organized a peace walk here on Sunday in the wake of the Indo-Pakistan border tension. The walk started from Nasser Bagh's gate No 1 and terminated peacefully at gate No 2.
Dr Mubashar Hassan, Dr Anwar Sajjad, Munir Niazi, Madiha Gohar, Shujaat Hashmi, Dr Ajmal Niazi, Ashraf Saleemi, Saleem Qureshi and Farrukh Suhail Goindi were prominent among the participants. They were carrying banners and placards inscribed with slogans like 'We want peace not war; No to war; No to terrorism; fight against war'.
Speaking to the participants in the walk, Dr Mubashar Hassan said that South Asia needed peace and prosperity and the people of this region can not afford nuclear war. He said that we all condemn the incident of September 11 at the World Trade Centre and the Pentagon. He appreciated President Gen Pervez Musharraf for his bold handshake with Indian Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee at the Saarc Summit. - APP

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International Herald Tribune Asia/Pacific, 7 January 2002

Rival Armies Are 'Eyeball To Eyeball' in Tense Kashmir

by Mark Landler, New York Times Service

CHAKOTHI, Pakistan. As the leaders of Pakistan and India exchanged a stiff handshake in Nepal over the weekend, their troops pointed machine guns at each other across a rugged ravine here, in the disputed region of Kashmir.
Diplomatic nuances mean little to the soldiers who patrol this jittery outpost along the Line of Control, a cease-fire line that serves as a de facto border between the Indian and Pakistani-controlled parts of Kashmir.
"When you've got two armies standing eyeball to eyeball, even a little accident can lead to a chain reaction that nobody can control," said Brigadier Mohammed Yaqub, the Pakistani Army's commander in this region.
"Every day, we are getting closer to a situation that nobody can control," he said, squinting across the ravine.
Bullets have whistled across this line almost every night since Dec. 13, when gunmen attacked the Indian Parliament in New Dehli, resulting in 14 deaths, including the five assailants. India blamed Pakistan-backed militants for the attack, and the two countries have edged perilously close to war.
If there is a conflict, it is likely to start here, in the mountain canyons of Kashmir. Machine-gun nests and artillery batteries nestle among the fir trees, beneath snow-capped peaks. They are controlled by soldiers who sometimes behave as though war has already broken out.
On Friday, close by this post, Indian troops fired several shots at their Pakistani counterparts, Brigadier Yaqub said. He said that his soldiers had not returned fire and that he did not know the motive for the attack. More often, the Pakistanis do fire back, and there are casualties on both sides.
"We are taking all the defensive measures required to defend our country," Brigadier Yaqub said at a briefing organized by the military for foreign journalists. Pakistan's goal in taking journalists to the Line of Control seemed to be to correct a perceived disadvantage in its public relations campaign about Kashmir. The Indian government attributes the violence in the region to terrorist groups, which it says are financed and armed by Pakistan's intelligence service.
Pakistan denies this, though it acknowledges giving moral support to the insurgents. It refers to them as freedom fighters. "There are no terrorist groups on our side," Brigadier Yaqub said. Brigadier Yaqub said 50,000 people had been forced out of their border homes since 1998 by Indian harassment.
At a refugee camp near Muzaffarabad, the capital of Pakistan-administered Kashmir, some residents expressed frustration that the dispute over Kashmir seemed further from resolution than ever. "I am angry at the Indian government and the whole world," said Chawdry Mirza, 60, who fled his home in 1994 because of the violence.
The farmers at Chakothi, however, do not seem fazed by the standoff. On Saturday, some could be seen tending their fields, terraced green plots that step down to a fast-moving river. Across the water, the helmets of Indian soldiers peeked over the stone walls of their lookout posts. Neither side is retreating from its positions, and those have not changed much in decades Indeed, in some ways, the Line of Control seems like a Cold War relic. For example, Indian and Pakistani troops maintain a telephone hot line that crosses the border near Chakothi.
The line, which was instituted to head off an accidental confrontation, has never been used. But once a month, it is checked by soldiers from each side, Brigadier Yaqub said.
After a date is set by both sides, Indian and Pakistani soldiers raise white flags and march cautiously to the middle of a wooden footbridge that spans the border. There, he said, "they check the line, exchange a cup of tea, talk about cricket and movies, and then go back."

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Time.com, January 7, 2002
http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,190848,00.html

Looking Down the Barrel

India and Pakistan rev up their militaries, raising fears of a new war between nuclear-armed enemies

by ANTHONY SPAETH/NEW DELHI
TAUSEFF MUSTAFA/AFP

Sunday, Jan. 06, 2002
Kirat Chand lives on one of the hottest spots on the globe, the disputed border between India and Pakistan in Kashmir. Life is never tranquil in his Galar village. Troops on either side continually take potshots at each other. These days the situation is nothing less than explosive. On Dec. 23, Pakistan lobbed an 81-mm mortar into Chand's courtyard, the first time such heavy ordnance has been used in the area since 1971. The mortar landed in mud and failed to detonate. Now army engineers are trying to extricate it, whacking around the shell with heavy pickaxes. "If that thing had burst," says Chand, observing from a few feet away, "nothing would have survived."
In the final weeks of 2001, the entire subcontinent became an unexploded bomb. The antagonistic neighbors geared up their war machines to a level not seen in 30 years. Colossus India ranged tanks and troops in strike formations along the border, deployed warships in the Arabian Sea and moved medium-range missiles-capable of carrying nuclear warheads-closer to Pakistan. A plan was publicized to pull camouflage tarps over the stately Taj Mahal to protect it from air raids. Vulnerable Pakistan moved troops and hardware from its border with Afghanistan, where they were supposed to be stopping fleeing al-Qaeda and Taliban fighters, to its Indian border, although it did so without publicity. Both countries have said explicitly over the past month that they were ready to go to war. It would be their fourth major conflict in a half-century. And this time each side is nuclear armed.
Would it come to war? The Bush Administration worked desperately to head off that possibility, with Secretary of State Colin Powell at one point camping in his office to work the phones to Islamabad and New Delhi. The last thing Washington needs as it strives to complete its goals in Afghanistan is a separate, new war in the region. That would distract Pakistan, whose cooperation is essential to the American strategy in Afghanistan, as well as complicate the fortunes of its leader, Pervez Musharraf, who has proved a handy partner to the U.S.
At the same time, the U.S. war against terrorism has actually helped set the stage for a new conflagration on the subcontinent. The proximate cause of the current tensions was the outrageous Dec. 13 attack on the Indian Parliament complex in New Delhi by suspected Muslim rebels who India claims were tied to Pakistan. India's response to the assault was conditioned by America's reaction to Sept. 11. Indian Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee immediately equated the attack to the Sept. 11 devastation in the U.S., blamed Pakistan for backing terrorists, demanded that Musharraf crack down on them and made plain that the alternative was war. Late last week the two leaders met at a regional conference in Kathmandu and even shook hands-significant in tense times-but they were still far from resolving the crisis. Musharraf talked of distinctions between terrorists and freedom fighters, while Vajpayee said he would welcome friendship as long as Pakistan prevented terrorists from "mindless violence" in India.
The Sept. 11 comparison has been strenuously promoted by India. "Dec. 13" is now accepted parlance among Indian politicians and journalists, even if the analogy is a stretch; 14 people, including the five attackers, were killed that day, and despite the apparent intentions of the assailants, the Parliament was left standing. Still, in the post-Sept. 11 environment, India finds itself on a new moral plateau. Its government has vehemently protested Pakistan's active support of armed insurgents-which is well known, even if Islamabad has denied it. In the past, the world paid little attention; it seemed to be a Hatfield and McCoy situation. The U.S. war on terrorism changed that. "It's a different world now," Indian Defense Minister George Fernandes told Time. "Sept. 11 made the U.S. realize the damage that a couple of terrorists can cause." While fearful that New Delhi's military maneuvers would set off a new war, Washington-to avoid hypocrisy-had to mute its protest. Though feeling protective toward its new pal Musharraf, Washington pressed him to rein in the militants.
So far, Musharraf is doing just that, buying what Washington assesses will be a cooling-off period of several weeks. "We now have a breathing space," says a senior Bush Administration official. However, it remains unclear whether Musharraf's actions will appease India sufficiently to reverse the escalation toward war. Clearly, neither side wants to unleash its ultimate arsenals. "Nobody is going to use the weapon," says Fernandes. But, notes a State Department official, "it's a question of unintended consequences. You never knew where it would end up, and you always knew they had nuclear weapons."
New fighting over Kashmir, which both India and Pakistan lay claim to, has loomed as a possible complication in America's battle against terrorism ever since President Bush declared war. Until then, the U.S. gave Pakistan the cold shoulder, in punishment for its 1998 nuclear test, and snubbed its leader, Musharraf, who came to power in a coup. Now, suddenly in need of Pakistan as a staging ground for the war in Afghanistan, the U.S. was embracing the country and offering $600 million in aid, a figure that will reach $1 billion by the end of the year. Mostly Hindu India, which has been at odds with mostly Muslim Pakistan since the departing British partitioned the subcontinent into the two countries in 1947, grew fearful that the U.S., which had been growing closer to India, would now tilt toward Pakistan. Then, on Oct. 1, Muslim extremists attacked the state legislature building in Srinagar, in Indian-controlled Kashmir, killing 38 people. In mid-October, while Secretary Powell was visiting Islamabad, the Indians shelled Pakistani army positions in Kashmir, breaking a 10-month cease-fire and reminding the U.S. that India would not be ignored.
Next came the Dec. 13 rampage. At 11:40 that day, one of the Toontown-type sedans used by Indian bigwigs got through the Parliament gates in New Delhi because it had an official-looking light on top and a home ministry decal on the windshield. Five militants got out and started firing assault rifles and grenades as they moved toward three separate entrances of the structure. None got inside; one man, who was wired with explosives, detonated himself near the main gate, through which he could have reached the chamber filled with legislators. After some 20 minutes of gunfire, all five militants were dead, along with eight paramilitary security guards and a gardener who was caught in the crossfire.
The suicide mission wasn't terribly sophisticated. The windshield decal that gave the terrorists access to the compound was anything but official. It read, in fractured English: "No body allows to stop this car. India is very bad country and we hate india we want to destroy india ... brother bush he is also a very bad person he will be next target." Once the carnage was over, the government recovered the terrorists' cell phones, with records of recent calls to Kashmir and Pakistan. Arrests in New Delhi and Kashmir came up with some alleged collaborators.
The police put an alleged accomplice, Mohammad Afzal, in front of television cameras, where he admitted helping the terrorists reach New Delhi from India-controlled Kashmir. New Delhi announced it was fully satisfied that Pakistan was behind the plot, though evidence was scant. In Islamabad the expected hot denials had an unmistakable timbre of truth. In the wake of Sept. 11, such an assault on India was probably the worst thing that could happen to Musharraf & Co. The general turned President condemned the attack. But it hardly mattered what Musharraf said. India already realized that the attack on Parliament, though similar to suicidal assaults of the past in more remote reaches, could alter the goalposts of its conflict with Pakistan-thanks to Sept. 11.
For 12 years India has been trying to put down an independence insurgency in the part of Kashmir it holds. Its official line is that the insurgency is fueled by Pakistan, not by the Kashmiri people-that it is a proxy war. The world has disregarded that argument, knowing India was stubbornly ignoring its own problems with the mostly Muslim Kashmiris, who have revived a call for a plebiscite that the U.N. promised them in 1949 to determine whether they would be part of India or part of Pakistan.
Pakistan, on its side, did aid the insurgency, although it claimed it gave only moral and political support. One thing it never denied was that militants were based on its soil, many in Pakistan-controlled Kashmir. That's a dangerous claim in the post-Sept. 11 world. It means you are harboring terrorists, just as the Taliban harbored al-Qaeda. "America must ensure that those who are part of the war on terrorism are themselves not guilty of providing a safe haven to terrorists," proclaims hard-line Indian Home Minister L.K. Advani, referring to Pakistan.
New Delhi has withdrawn its top diplomat from Pakistan, canceled train and bus service across the border and widely publicized its troop and hardware movements, always threatening to go further. "The mood of the nation is to hit back," says Sahib Singh Verma, a senior leader of the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party. Indians were instructed by the media what the logical escalation of pressure would be: limited air strikes, sorties across the border to hit terrorist camps, perhaps an abrogation of a 41-year-old treaty that would deny Pakistan vital waters from rivers that originate in India. After that: all-out war.
Militarily, Musharraf could do nothing but match India's escalation, moving troops to the 1,800-mile border and ordering retaliatory shelling across the Line of Control in Kashmir. Politically, he was being pushed to the wall. For more than 50 years, Pakistan has been dedicated to "liberating" Kashmir from India, and Musharraf has gone further than most in pursuing that goal. As army chief of staff, he ran Pakistan's six-week (unsuccessful) battle for the sparsely inhabited mountains of Kargil in Indian-controlled Kashmir. Most Pakistan watchers knew that Pakistan would have to change its Kashmir policy after Sept. 11. "We hoped they'd have longer," says a Western diplomat in Islamabad.
To turn away from the Kashmiri rebels, especially under pressure from India, was a lot to ask of a Pakistani leader. It was hard enough for Musharraf, under U.S. pressure, to abandon the Taliban, whom Pakistan had supported before Sept. 11. But the Kashmir cause is much closer to the hearts of Pakistanis, who partly define themselves through their opposition to India. Anyway, Musharraf had few options. "If he didn't give the appearance of responding to Indian concerns, he might have a war on his hands, and it would be a war he'd lose," notes Robert Hathaway, director of the Asia program at the Woodrow Wilson Center, a Washington think tank.
Musharraf started slowly, banning the two organizations that India linked to the Dec. 13 attack, Jaish-e-Muhammad and Lashkar-e-Taiba, and freezing their bank accounts. Then, under U.S. pressure, he had the groups' leaders, 22 of their henchmen and more than 100 other extremists arrested in the name of domestic security, and instructed his intelligence agency to scale back its support of insurgents going into Kashmir.
In fact, since Musharraf took over the country in a bloodless coup in 1999, he has wanted to crack down on the country's extremist religious groups, which often feed people into militant organizations, including those fighting for Kashmir. It's not a task for the fainthearted. Three weeks ago, the brother of Pakistan Interior Minister Moinuddin Haider was gunned down in the port city of Karachi because, police believe, Haider was outspoken against fanatical religious groups.
On Dec. 25, Musharraf gave a speech against "wicked, bigoted" religious extremism, saying it could lead "to our own internal destruction." But even if he had his own reasons, once India demanded a crackdown, it became politically dicey for Musharraf to pull it off. "The shriller the Indians, the more difficult it is for Pakistan," notes a Western diplomat in Islamabad. Still, Musharraf's crackdown against the militants has at least impressed Washington. "It's real, and it's going to continue," says a senior State Department official.
The U.S. has been intensely involved in mediating the dispute. Because Washington is friendlier with both India and Pakistan than ever before, its role has been elevated beyond recognition. In the three weeks after Dec. 13, Powell phoned Musharraf four times and Indian Foreign Minister Jaswant Singh three times, pleading with both sides to "slow down" their escalation toward war. President Bush called Musharraf and Vajpayee as well. Along the way, Powell pleaded with Musharraf to act more forcefully against the militants. Then, in every call to Singh, he emphasized what Musharraf was doing.
As the situation evolved, Powell got into the details of the army maneuvers. Noting that the Pakistanis were acting against the militants, Powell told Singh, "You need to reciprocate." He asked that India halt its soldiers at their assembly points instead of transporting them to the front lines; late last week New Delhi announced it would do just that. For Washington, which still needs Pakistan's assistance in hunting down al-Qaeda's Osama bin Laden and the Taliban's Mullah Mohammed Omar, the stakes are enormous. "A war between India and Pakistan would make the conflict in Afghanistan an afterthought," says Hathaway. "You could kiss goodbye any hopes for capturing Osama bin Laden."
Of course, on the ground in Kashmir, the stakes are high and personal. On both sides of the Line of Control, people are fleeing border villages in fear of war. They aren't the only ones on the move. At this time of year, Muzaffarabad, the capital of Pakistan-controlled Kashmir, is usually teeming with teenagers in camouflage jackets who have arrived from Pakistan proper for winter training as jihadis. But the young radicals these days are sullenly waiting for buses, headed not for war but for home. Militant groups confirm that they have been told by the Pakistani government to wind up their operations, at least for now, and to evict "guest mujahedin," non-Kashmiri volunteers. The biggest training camp in Muzaffarabad, run by the now banned Lashkar-e-Taiba, is quiet, as are its sister facilities not far away. "People no longer sleep at the camps," says a Kashmiri militant in Aath Maqam, a village near the Line of Control. "There is a fear of attack by India." In the past couple of weeks, pro-jihad flags and posters that lined the streets have been hauled in or scrubbed away.
Commanders of the insurgency insist that despite Pakistan's crackdown, they can continue sending infiltrators across the loc, which has many secret passages. "We know we cannot operate fully without government help. But we can carry on. Instead of 10, we can send two people into India now," says a Lashkar militant. But without the help Pakistan once offered, life will become tougher for the militants. They will face two enemy forces-one Pakistani, the other Indian.
If war between India and Pakistan is averted, the countries will still have plenty of challenges between them-and on their own. Musharraf will have to explain to his people his crackdown on terrorism, which he used to call by a more glorified name. Lots of those people lived for the jihad that is now under such attack. "When I was a child, my mother wanted me to get settled in London," says Abu Haroon, 28, returned to Pakistan after two years fighting in Kashmir. "But I opted for jihad after one of my friends died in India. I abandoned my education and don't know anything else than to fight and die over there." Haroon is a walking metaphor for his nation. Pakistan's main moral purpose for decades has been to stand up to India, and Kashmir has been its principal platform.
India has its own worries. The indigenous militants in Kashmir now think they have a fighting chance-and they're as bloodthirsty as their visiting colleagues-at forcing India to start addressing decades of grievances. Given the stakes of a new India- Pakistan war, the rest of the world, especially Washington, might now become involved in untangling the Kashmir mess, a notion India has long abhorred. Which goes to show that when the world starts changing, no one knows where it's going to stop.
-Reported by Hannah Bloch and Syed Talat Hussain/Islamabad, Meenakshi Ganguly/Galar, Ghulam Hasnain/ Muzaffarabad, Yusuf Jameel/Srinagar, Sankarshan Thakur/New Delhi and Douglas Waller/Washington

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Dawn, Press release 8 January 2002
http://www.dawn.com/2002/01/08/nat7.htm

Peace activists not allowed to hold demo

KARACHI: Jan 07: A peaceful candlelight demonstration at Hasan Square urging restraint between India and Pakistan was forcibly dispersed by Gulshan-e-Iqbal police led by ASP Asif Ejaz and two demonstrators Aslam Martin and Javed Iqbal Burki were arrested.
Police offices manhandled women and children and snatched away banners. They tore up peace placards from the hundred or so peaceful citizens who had gathered waiting for the vigil to begin. Several hundred more were expected.
Written information for the rally had been provided by the Human Rights Commission of Pakistan to the DIG, Karachi who had said that the demonstration could take place as long as there was no procession. But over 100 police officers began forcibly dispersing the waiting demonstrators before the vigil even began.
Rally organisers negotiated with police, while demonstrators stood their ground, but the arrival of ASP Ejaz put a stop to the process. Male and female police officers armed with rifles and lathis pushed and shoved the participants and started arresting them, even as other demonstrators were arriving for the vigil.
"We would like to know what the policy of our government is," said the organizers. "On the one hand they allow statements to be published by religious groups calling for jihad and openly provoking war, but when we assemble peacefully, we are violently attacked."
One of the protestors, Dr Riaz Ahmed of Karachi University, was hauled away by the police but he to break free when other demonstrators resisted his arrest. His eye-glasses were broken in the scuffle.
The vigil was organized under the umbrella of the Joint Action Committee for Peace, which includes about 30 non-government organisations including HRCP, WAF, Shirkat-Gah, Idara-Amn-o-Insaf, Aurat Foundation, Labour Party Pakistan, Piler, Pakistan-India Peoples Forum for Peace and Democracy, War Against Rape, International Socialist Group, CPP, Pakistanis4peace.org, Citizens for Peace, and a large number of unaffiliated citizens.

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BBC News, Monday, 7 January, 2002, 15:46 GMT
Analysis: Musharraf on a tightrope

Pakistan has arrested a large number of militants

By Owais Tohid of the BBC Urdu Service

Only a few months ago, every village and town in Pakistan was awash with graffiti glorifying holy war.
Religious groups were openly recruiting young people and calling for donations.

A new cause was found in Kashmir
Now the offices stand empty, their leaders arrested or fearing arrest. Some have even renamed their groups.
And all this brought about by none other than Pakistan's army ruler. President Pervez Musharraf has launched a campaign to marginalise these groups which previously were believed to have enjoyed support from Pakistan's army. [...]

Full Text at: http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/world/south_asia/newsid_1742000/1742651.stm

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ZNet Commentary, January 07, 2002

The Hawks Circle South Asia

By Vijay Prashad

The Fifth Afghan War, now slowly coming to a close, has changed the rules of international engagements. The Bush doctrine against terrorism stated that the US or any aggrieved party would retaliate for acts of terror not only against those who perpetuate the violence, but also against those who harbor terrorists.
In other words, the US accepted the Israeli military technique that inflicts as much pain on the Palestinian leadership as it can, even as the Palestinian Authority denies its hand in the acts of terror conducted by other anti-Israeli forces (most of whom are indeed based in the PA).
But the Bush doctrine, we now find, is not for universal usage, but only to be adopted by the US at its discretion and by the Israelis (who crafted it in the first place).
When a group of terrorists drove up to the main gate of the Indian Parliament on 13 December 2001 and attacked security personnel there just as the upper house (the Rajya Sabha) went into recess, the Hindu-Right led Indian government willed that it too wanted to go after not only the terrorists, but also the state that harbored them. The US said no.
Foiled by a miscalculation, the men could not enter the building nor could they create the mayhem that they had so astutely planned. Gunfire and grenades, as well as a suicide bomb blast, killed nine people and the five terrorists themselves.
Half an hour later, the Indian streets buzzed with this information and the media began the inevitable parallels with 9/11. We heard immediately that 13/12 was our 9/11 and that we must do something to respond. In truth, the streets remained open and most ordinary people went on their way as before. It takes a lot to shake a country this size.
When Prime Minister Indira Gandhi was assassinated here in 1984 the first reaction was disbelief, until her Congress Party engineered the massacre of at least four thousand Sikhs. The mood on the streets did not reflect 1984, nor did the people feel a sense of dread that the pogroms may begin any minute.
In truth, the assault on Indian Muslims is ongoing: a massive campaign against the poor Muslim population of the city in 1993 has been repeated in small doses ever since. Even as it was possible that the terror gangs of the Hindu Right may take to the streets, it seemed unlikely. A cricket tour by England in India had the attention of many people, as others continued their pursuit of a struggled living.
But the chattering class went into action. The Hindu Right leadership took refuge in the Israeli-US logic enunciated clearly by the Bush doctrine. The Hindu Right spoke of an attack on Pakistan in retaliation for 13/12 as the investigation by the authorities began to show that the men might have come from groups headquartered in that state.
Jaish-e-Mohammad and Laskar-e-Toiba, two insurgent groups formed to create mayhem in Kashmir in the name of freedom, are certainly a grave threat to the mild stability that prevails in the subcontinent, even as the Indian and Pakistani armies exchange fire routinely across the Line of Control in Kashmir.
JeM and LeT are based in Pakistan, now banned by the US, and given the same kind of shelter by the Pakistani Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) that was given to the mujahidin of the anti-Soviet Afghan war and to the Taliban. The police arrested three men accused of being accomplices of the terrorists, just as the leadership of the JeM and LeT claimed that the Indian state had conducted this attack itself to manufacture a provocation against the Pakistan-based organizations.
The Pakistani President, Pervez Musharraf, offered his sorrow for the attack, but defended the Pakistan-based groups as freedom fighters.
Just as the Hindu Right followed the Bush playbook, Musharraf offered words that mimicked those of George Shultz before Congress in 1986 to defend the US support of the Nicaraguan Contras ("The Contras in Nicaragua do not blow up school buses or hold mass execution of civilians"; while this was not true of the Contras, it is also not true of the JeM and the LeT, both of whom are indiscriminate with violence against noncombatants - itself the weakest definition of terrorism).
Mimicry was the order of the day. Just as Bush spoke of Good and Evil, and claimed all Good for any action of the US, so too did the Indian Home Minister L. K. Advani tell Parliament that "the struggle is between the civilized society and barbarism. It is also the struggle between democracy and terrorism."
India, he said, stands on the twin pillars of secularism and democracy, while Pakistan does not. This Advani is the man responsible for the assault on India's secularism and he is the prime mover of the Prevention of Terrorism Ordinance (POTO), a mimicked version of the USA Patriot Act and of the British Terrorism Act. His claim to secular democracy is as true as Bush's to goodness.
The two sides moved troops to forward positions and the entire region smoldered in the tension of troop mobilizations. War seemed likely, except that the powers did not want the engagement to happen. And this had little to do with the fact that both these regional powers possess nuclear weapons.
The US did not want the war because it would mean that the Pakistani military would not do its border duty on the Afghan-Pakistan border and stop the flow of al-Qa'ida fighters out of the reach of US guns. Furthermore with US troops posted to Pakistan, an Indian attack would jeopardize American lives. All the blanket morality of Bush fell by the wayside when the Indian government attempted to use his logic against Pakistan.
Domestic compulsions pushed the brinkmanship. Musharraf feels the heat of an emboldened Islamic Right within, one whose manpower has been increased by the fleeing al-Qa'ida and other such fighters from Afghanistan.
Furthermore, the failure of Pakistan's forward strategy into Afghanistan (viz. support for the Taliban) has forced its ISI to push harder for a forward strategy into Kashmir, even as this too would be fated to fail.
Meanwhile, the Hindu Right is eager to win a majority in the crucial northern state of Uttar Pradesh, whose assembly elections will be in February. Chief Minister Rajnath Singh was one of the main hawks on behalf of the BJP, and Prime Minister Vajpayee reserved his strongest speeches for his visits to that state. Culturally cruel nationalism combined with a belligerent foreign policy may help the electorate forget the collapse of the economic destiny of the many as well as the corruption of the BJP in power.
The powers asked the two sides to negotiate, to dialogue - strange words after the muteness that preceded the Fifth Afghan War.
Musharraf banned the two terrorist organizations, arrested their leadership, and asked the ISI to close down its cell that foments terror in Kashmir. The latter was a startling admission, because Pakistan has until now denied its obvious presence in the Kashmir troubles.
When Musharraf went and forced a hand-shake with the Indian Prime Minister Vajpayee at the South Asian Association of Regional Cooperation (SAARC) summit in Kathmandu, Nepal on January 5, 2002, the Indian PM replied that these gestures of friendship must be matched by actions.
When Vajpayee went to Lahore in 1999 for the "bus diplomacy," he said at the opening day of the SAARC, he was "rewarded with aggression in Kargil and the hijacking of an Indian Airlines aircraft from Kathmandu."
Musharraf did condemn terrorism, but then halted with a defense of the mehmen mujahidin in Kashmir: "it is equally important that a distinction be maintained between acts of legitimate resistance and freedom struggles, on the one hand, acts of terrorism, on the other."
Kashmir is indeed the pawn at the center of this power struggle, but let us not also forget the irresponsible situation created by the adoption of the Israeli logic by the US government and generalized as a response to terrorism.
Cooler minds cannot sort out the Kashmir matter if we all act like the IDF. Tony Blair comes to India as Bush's ambassador, a man who represents a country unable to deal with the troubles in Ireland, and yet able once again to lecture that darker peoples about their problems.
Both India and Pakistan are mature countries that need to provide a framework within which the border disputes and the Kashmir matter can be settled. The Bush doctrine and the Blair tourism is no solution, even as these acts by accident have helped stem what seemed to be an inevitable war.
Vijay Prashad has recently published "War Against the Planet: The Fifth Afghan War, US Imperialism and Other Assorted Fundamentalisms" (New Delhi: Leftword Books, 2002). To order a copy, contact LeftWord at leftword@vsnl.com.

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Date: Mon, 7 Jan 2002 10:30:33 +0100
From: FoE Sydney - Nuclear Campaign (by way of Harsh Kapoor)
Subject:URGENT! Prevent Indo-Pak war - Pls Sign Peace Letter to Indian, Pak, Govts

URGENT! HELP PREVENT AN INDO/PAKISTAN WAR

My apologies for the number of times this has been posted, but the issue is most important and time is very short.

This letter to the governments of India and Pakistan is now soliciting signatures from organisations, parliamentarians, and prominent persons most urgently, and in view of the situation, needs to be sent as soon as possible. It is to be sent urgently (15th) to the governments of India and Pakistan.

Please get your organisation to sign this letter, and if possible fax a similar one yourself to the fax numbers at the top of this one.

Do you think that you/your organisation could endorse this?

(To sign/endorse just email me back with details of your name, name of organisation, position, and location including country)

John Hallam

---------

PRIME MINISTER OF INDIA A.B. VAJPAYEE,
SOUTH BLOCK, NEW DELHI, 110-004
+91-11-301-6857 +91-11-301-9545, 91-11-972-2-664-838

MINISTER OF EXTERNAL AFFAIRS INDIA
+91-11-301-0700 UN MISSION Fax. + 1 212 490 9656
Aust. High Commission - 6273-1308, 6273-3328

PRESIDENT MUSHARRAF OF PAKISTAN,
0011-92-51-920-3938, 0011-92-51-920-1968 0011-92-51-811390

FOREIGN MINISTER OF PAKISTAN
+92-51-920-7217 +92-51-920 0420 or 820-420
UN Mission Fax. + 1 212 744 7348 Aust. High Commission - 6290-1073

CC
UNITED NATIONS SECRETARY - GENERAL KOFI ANNAN

Dear Presidents, Prime Ministers, and Foreign Ministers of India and Pakistan,

The undersigned groups and parliamentarians, representing people and organizations worldwide, write to you to express our extreme concern over the possibility of conflict between your two countries.

A military conflict could all too easily become a devastating nuclear exchange, which could destroy both countries as functioning entities, with casulties in the millions. Some projections suggest that up to 150 million people might die, depending on the exact scenario.

Military action, or a threat of military action, could all too easily lead to an outcome that is not in anyone's interest.

Military solutions to the Kashmir problem should therefore be ruled out. It is urgent to initiate a dialogue on Kashmir in whatever is the most effective manner, leading to a real solution to the Kashmir problem.

We do not seek to prescribe in detail any particular solution to the Kashmir issue. Rather we point out that the losses that would be incurred equally by both nations in a nuclear exchange are so vast, and so incomprehensible, that no political, security, or other goal whatsoever could possibly justify taking the risk of those losses.

Eliminating the risk of a nuclear exchange between India and Pakistan is a goal which must take precedence over all other possible political and security goals as it concerns the continued physical survival of both nations.

Whoever provides a peaceful and just way out of this crisis will have the gratititude of both Indians, Pakistanis, and the world as a whole.

We therefore urge India and Pakistan:
--To move their troops, especially 'strategic units', but also all military formations, back from the border.
--To instruct their troops not to return fire if fired upon
--To immediately enter discussions both at SAARC and elsewhere which will stabilize the situation.
--To immediately restore road and rail links
--To enter discussions as to the most appropriate way in which to pursue terrorist organisations.

and in the longer term:
--To enter a dialogue aimed at providing a mutually acceptable solution to the Kashmiri problem.
--To enter discussions aimed at eliminating the risk of a nuclear exchange between the two countries, under any cicumstances.
--To work towards lasting solutions toward peace and stability in the region.

Finally, we urge that both nations take seriously the goal of eliminating nuclear weapons to which other nations have agreed, and eliminate the risk of the annihilation of both parties by dismantling their nuclear arsenals.

We trust that through these and other representations, a peaceful solution to the current crisis will be found.

Copy to : UNITED NATIONS SECRETARY - GENERAL KOFI ANNAN
with the request to exercise his good offices to facilitate and ensure that both the governments of India and Pakistan take immediate steps in conformity with this appeal for peace by the undersigned organisations and concerned individuals.

Signed [Organizations and Parliamentarians Signatures]

INDIAN AND PAKISTANI GROUPS
Sukla Sen EKTA (Committee for Communal Amity) Mumbai (Bombay) Harsh Kapoor, South Asians Against Nukes (SAAN), S.V. Kirubaharan, Secy, Tamil Centre for Human Rights (THCR) France, Dr Balakrishna Kurvey, President, Indian Institute for Peace, Disarmament, and Environmental Protection,(IIDEP) Nagpur, India, Prof Ram Puniyami, IIT-Mumbai, Akhila Rahman, Asiapeace, Berkley, CA., USA, Ritu Primlani, Thimakaa, San Francisco, USA, Zahid Hussain, President, Sustainable Resource Foundation, (SURF) Islamabad, Pakistan, Yasmin Zaidi, Islamabad, Pakistan,

INTERNATIONAL ORGANISATIONS
John Loretz, International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War (IPPNW), Boston, Mass, USA, Wiliam Peden, Greenpeace International,Lond, UK, Ricardo Navarro, Chair, Friends of the Earth International (FOEI)

RUSSIAN/CIS GROUPS
Oleg Bodrov, Chair, 'Zelenyi Zvit' (Green World), Sosnovy Bor, Russia, Vladimir Slivyak, ECODEFENSE, Russia, Alisa Nikoulina, Social-Ecological Union, Russia,

US GROUPS
Robert K. Musil, Executive Director, , Physicians for Social Responsibility (PSR) Washington, USA, Marylia Kelly, Tri-Valley CARES, Livermore, US, Carol Wolman, Nuclear Peace Action Group of Mendocino, CA. Alice Slater, Global Resource and Action Centre for the Environment, (GRACE) NY, USA, Preston J. Truman, Downwinders, Idaho, USA, Phyllis W. Stanley, Environmental and Peace Education Centre, Florida, USA, Molly Johnstone, Director, Grandmothers for Peace, San Luis Obispo, CA, USA,

CANADIAN GROUPS
Senator Douglas Roche, OC, Canada, Desmond Berghofer, Institute for Ethical Leadership, Vancouver, BC, Canada, Sue Fraser, Secy, Vancouver Islanders for Nuclear Disarmament, BC, Canada,

UK GROUPS
Jenny Maxwell, West Midlands CND, UK, Jenny Maxwell, Vice-Chair, CND-UK, London, Lindis Percy, Campaign for the Accountability of American Bases (CAAB), UK, Simon Bowens, Yorkshire CND., Yorkshire, UK, George Farebrother, Secy, World Court Project, Hailsham, UK,

Dr Wolfgang Hertle, Archiv-Aktiv, Hamburg, Germany, Hans-Peter Richter, German Peace Council, Germany,

Matthias Reichl, Centre for Encounters and Active Non-Violence, Bad Ischl, Austria,

Professor Bent Natvig, Chair, Pugwash Committee of Norway, Oslo, Norway,

Constantin Lacatus, President, Sibenii Pacifisti, Sibiu, Romania,

Steve Leeper, Global Peacemakers Association, Hiroshima, Japan, Yumi Kikuchi, Founder, Global Peace Campaign, Japan, Satomi Oba, Plutonium Action Hiroshima, Hiroshima, Japan, Haruko Moritaki, Hiroshima Alliance for Nuclear Weapons Abolition, Hiroshima, Japan, Haruko Moritaki, Association for Peace Exchange with Indian and Pakistani Youth, Hiroshima, Japan,

AUSTRALIAN GROUPS
John Hallam, Friends of the Earth Australia, Irene Gale AM, Australian Peace Committee, Jo Vallentine, People for Nuclear Disarmament W.A., Hilel Freedman, Nuclear-Free Australia, Melb, Aust, Robert J. Hunter, President, Scientists for Global Responsibility, Sydney, Aust, Robin Chapple MLC, Greens, W.A., Mining and Pastoral Region, Perth, W.A.,

NZ GROUPS
Lawrence F.J. Ross, Secy, New Zealand Nuclear-Free Peacemaking Association

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Hindustan Times, 7.1.02

Cross-border terror must end: Blair

New Delhi, : PRIME MINISTER Atal Bihari Vajpayee and British Prime Minister Tony Blair signed the New Delhi Declaration on Sun day, calling for a "better and safer world". The declaration enhances India-UK bilateral cooperation in counter-terrorism and will strengthen the UK-India Joint Working Group on . Terrorism. Blair assured Vajpayee that he will address India's concern on cross-border terrorism and do his best to persuade Pakistan to curb terrorist groups operating from its soil. Blair had an hour-long discussion with Vajpayee before both leaders signed the New Delhi Declaration.

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Newsday, January 7, 2002

U.S. Indian-Pakistani Bonds Defy Hostilities Back Home

By S. Mitra Kalita

Inside a Jackson Heights hair salon, Harshad Kumar Valand and Muhammed Rafi have snipped and shaved their way to a relationship most unlikely in their sparring homelands.
Valand hails from India, Rafi from Pakistan.
On a slow afternoon recently, with no customers seated before them, the barbers appeared insulted when asked about their friendship of three years.
"Dost nahi hai," Valand said in Hindi, pointing to Rafi. "Mera bhai."
Not my friend, my brother.
Steps away, on a table in the Rose Beauty Salon's waiting area, lies a reminder of why the barbers' bond grows ever more noteworthy. "COLD WAR!" blares the headline of an ethnic newspaper, above parallel photos of India's Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee and Pakistan's President Gen. Pervez Musharraf.
"I live in the U.S.A.," Rafi said. "This problem is government to government, not people to people. When we are together doing our jobs, all people are happy."
Along the South Asian commercial strip in Jackson Heights, Indians and Pakistanis patronize one another's shops, employ one another and work side by side. In Long Island, they gather as teammates for weekend cricket matches in the spring and summer months. Indeed, the relationships Indians and Pakistanis have forged on U.S. shores appear to defy the ever-growing hostility on the subcontinent. Observers say business interests, economic dependence and cultural similarities bind the communities together here, thousands of miles from home. But loyalties and patriotism still run deep among many immigrants - and will perhaps deepen as India and Pakistan skirt with waging their fourth war since partition in 1947.
On Dec. 13, militants attacked India's parliament in a suicide mission that killed 14 people. India accuses Pakistan of financing the militant group it holds responsible; the conflict has also brought renewed attention to Kashmir, a disputed Himalayan territory to which both India and Pakistan lay claim.
"Sometimes you do feel what choice are you left with if such attacks are carried out again," said Ramesh Navani, an Indian immigrant who is president of the 100-member Jackson Heights Merchants Association. "We try to keep above these developments, of course. A businessman by nature tries to stay away from politics. You have all kinds of customers."
Evidence of Indian shopkeepers marketing to Pakistanis, and vice versa, lines storefronts along 74th Street. At Sahil Sari Palace, the "Eid Mobarek" sign still hangs in the window of the sari and fabric store owned by Hindus, offering greetings to Muslims who observe Eid ul-Fitr. The holiday marks the end of Ramadan, the month of fasting.
"We're not Muslim, but it brings people in," said Sunil Chugh, whose father owns the store. "On Eid, I gave my friend a hug three times. I didn't see a difference. When there's Diwali, they gave me sweets," he said, referring to the Hindu festival of lights.
Across the street, Shereen Mahal, a restaurant owned by Pakistanis, advertises specials for masala dosa and sambar, foods native to South India. "Pakistan and India were the same country 55 years ago," said owner Tasawar Hussain, who lives in Searingtown. "So many people think it's the same country."
Indeed, in a spate of bias incidents after Sept. 11, attackers often made few distinctions between Indians and Pakistanis, Sikhs and Muslims and Hindus. "After Sept. 11, we shared in the racial discrimination," said Ali A. Mirza, president of Americans of Pakistani Heritage, which represents 1,000 Pakistanis in Brooklyn and Queens, and Nassau and Suffolk counties.
And community leaders who emigrated from India - a secular country that is majority Hindu but includes Muslims, Christians, Sikhs, Jains, Buddhists and followers of other religions - said they have spent recent weeks touring mosques and churches and temples to present a united front as Americans. "Right after Sept. 11, there was a joint prayer meeting at the mosque in Westbury," said Arvind Vora, chairman of the Long Island Multi-Faith Forum who is a Jain from India. "People probably didn't expect me to be there, but I was there."
Nonetheless, other immigrants say they have noticed an escalation in discussion and debate within the South Asian community. "Half our staff is Indian, the other half is Pakistani," said Tariq Hamid, owner of Shaheen, a chain of sweet shops throughout the city. "Between them in the kitchen, they talk. Of course sometimes they get into heated arguments ... but it stays friendly."
When Anil Vyas moved to a new home in Williston Park a few weeks ago, he had a housewarming party and invited the Pakistani teammates he plays cricket with on the Long Island Cricket Club. His gathering of 40 or 50 guests fell on a weekend after the Parliament attack and included a handful of Pakistani families.
"You don't want to start talking about religion," said Vyas, an Indian immigrant. "It's a never-ending story. If somebody starts arguing over something, you divert the conversation to cricket or something else."
Cricket matches between India and Pakistan are infamous for the intense rivalry they foster. But in the United States, Vyas said, Indians and Pakistanis often find themselves on the same team.
Many immigrants say rooting for their homeland's cricket team remains the extent of their patriotism.
"In Pakistan, I cheered for Pakistan," said Mohammed Irfan, owner of Kohinoor, a jewelry store in Jackson Heights. "That's a game. War is not a game."



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Landelijke India Werkgroep - 17 januari 2002